Category: War And Peace

bookmark_borderTrump’s Complicity in Global War Crimes: Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran

Posted on by admin

Introduction

Despite branding himself as a “man of peace,” President Donald Trump’s actions during the first five months of his second term have contributed to a disturbing escalation of global conflict. From enabling brutal regimes to undermining international law, Trump’s role in supporting war crimes across multiple regions—Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran—marks one of the most troubling legacies of any U.S. president in modern history.

Empty Promises of Peace

Trump repeatedly claimed that wars would “never happen” under his leadership, and that global conflicts would end on “day one” of his return to office. These assertions have proven not only false but dangerously misleading. In reality, Trump’s rhetoric and policy decisions have emboldened authoritarian leaders, undermined international institutions, and fueled deadly military campaigns.

I. Ukraine: Enabling Putin’s War Crimes

Russian President Vladimir Putin stands accused by the International Criminal Court (ICC) of war crimes, including the abduction and forced relocation of thousands of Ukrainian children. His military has carried out widespread bombing campaigns targeting civilians, hospitals, and critical infrastructure across Ukraine.

Rather than holding Putin accountable, Trump has amplified Kremlin disinformation and echoed many of Moscow’s false narratives about the war. He has reportedly obstructed or delayed vital military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine—actions that have directly weakened Ukraine’s ability to defend itself. With Trump’s backing, Putin has become further emboldened in carrying out crimes against humanity and violating international law with impunity.

II. Gaza: Complicity in Collective Punishment

In Gaza, Trump has offered unwavering support to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is himself under investigation for war crimes. Trump not only endorses Netanyahu’s harshest policies but has also taken the unprecedented step of threatening ICC judges after the court issued arrest warrants.

Trump has advocated for the mass expulsion of Palestinians from Gaza, a stance that violates international law and potentially constitutes ethnic cleansing. His affiliated organization, the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF), has faced allegations of deliberately blocking aid and participating in the targeting of civilians attempting to access food and medical relief. Both GHF and Israeli forces have been accused of weaponizing hunger, a recognized war crime under the Geneva Conventions.

At the same time, Trump has worked to dismantle the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA), the principal international body providing aid to Palestinians, effectively undermining humanitarian lifelines for millions.

III. Iran: Driving a New Conflict

Trump’s role in destabilizing Iran began in his first term when he withdrew the U.S. from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), also known as the Iran nuclear deal. In his second term, he has escalated tensions further by demanding that Iran abandon even peaceful nuclear activities, while offering continued military and diplomatic cover to Israel—one of the few nations in the region with an undeclared nuclear arsenal.

Most recently, Trump has supported an unprovoked military campaign against Iran, providing logistical and material support to allied nations executing the offensive. Legal experts and human rights advocates argue that this constitutes participation in an illegal war of aggression—a recognized crime under international law.

IV. Other War Crimes and Violations of International Law

Trump’s pattern of disregard for international law extends beyond Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran. One of the most brazen examples occurred during his first term: the assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani. Ordered in January 2020, the drone strike that killed Soleimani—on Iraqi soil and without Congressional approval—was widely condemned by international legal scholars as a violation of international law and Iraqi sovereignty. Soleimani was a high-ranking government official, and his killing was neither in response to an imminent threat nor sanctioned by the United Nations. It set a dangerous precedent for extrajudicial assassinations of state actors and further deteriorated diplomatic channels between Iran, Iraq, and the United States.

The United Nations’ Special Rapporteur on extrajudicial, summary, or arbitrary executions stated that the killing was “unlawful” under international law. The action also violated the UN Charter, which prohibits the use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, unless undertaken in self-defense or with Security Council authorization. No such justification applied to the Soleimani strike.

Moreover, Trump’s frequent use of military force without Congressional authorization—whether through drone strikes, cyberattacks, or conventional bombing campaigns—runs counter to both U.S. constitutional norms and international war statutes. His assertion that bombing sovereign nations does not constitute an act of war defies both common sense and established legal standards. Article I of the U.S. Constitution reserves the power to declare war to Congress, and international law, including the Geneva Conventions and the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, affirms that acts of aggression, including unprovoked bombing campaigns, can constitute war crimes.

Under Trump’s leadership, the U.S. has increasingly sidelined international institutions and legal norms, escalating a doctrine of “might makes right” in global affairs. His administration has threatened ICC judges, sanctioned international legal bodies, and withdrawn from cooperative agreements—all while embracing authoritarian leaders and discrediting human rights frameworks.

The consequence is not just legal or diplomatic damage—it’s a growing cycle of perpetual war, where military interventions replace strategy, and retribution replaces diplomacy. History has shown—from Operation Infinite Reach to the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq—that bombing countries without self-defense not only violates international law, it guarantees long-term instability, insurgency, and blowback.

Conclusion: A Legacy of Escalation and Impunity

Trump’s actions have had devastating consequences across multiple regions. In Ukraine, his refusal to confront Putin and amplification of Kremlin propaganda have emboldened a regime accused of war crimes and prolonged a brutal invasion. In Gaza, his unwavering support for Netanyahu, coupled with the dismantling of humanitarian infrastructure, has intensified collective punishment and deepened civilian suffering. In Iran, his reckless aggression—punctuated by the unlawful assassination of General Qassem Soleimani and ongoing support for unprovoked bombing campaigns—has brought the world closer to environmental catastrophe and full-scale war.

Beyond these individual cases, Trump has promoted a dangerous doctrine: that bombing sovereign nations without Congressional approval or international authorization is somehow not an act of war. This defies both U.S. constitutional law and international legal standards, and it echoes the same flawed logic that led to the quagmires of Iraq and Afghanistan. The result is not peace, but a blueprint for permanent, unaccountable conflict.

Taken together, Trump’s foreign policy constitutes not just a moral failure, but a consistent pattern of enabling war crimes, violating international law, and accelerating global instability. His legacy is not diplomacy—it is escalation, impunity, and an ever-mounting human toll.

Trumpenomics: The Decline of the US

bookmark_borderThe Unraveling of American Leadership: How Trump’s Policies Are Reshaping the Global Order and Undermining U.S. Credibility

Posted on by admin

by Daniel Brouse
April 20, 2025

Donald Trump’s economic, immigration, and environmental policies have had significant ripple effects that are altering the global order and undercutting America’s role as a global leader. Here’s a breakdown of how each domain contributes to these broader consequences:

1. Economic Policies: Nationalism Over Globalism

Tariffs and Trade Wars:

Trump’s use of tariffs, especially against China and even traditional allies like the EU and Canada, disrupted global supply chains and undermined trust in the U.S. as a reliable trade partner. Instead of fostering a rules-based global economy, this approach favored ad hoc, transactional negotiations, creating uncertainty.

  • Impact: Destabilized global trade norms, encouraged other nations to seek alternatives to U.S.-dominated institutions, and hurt U.S. manufacturers and farmers via retaliatory tariffs.

  • Result: Accelerated the emergence of regional trade blocs (e.g., China’s RCEP, EU-Mercosur deal) and weakened the WTO’s influence.

Deficit Spending Without Structural Reform:

Trump pushed through major tax cuts (e.g., 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act) disproportionately benefiting the wealthy and corporations, with no corresponding cuts in spending. This exacerbated long-term deficits and debt without improving productivity.

  • Impact: Fed an overheating economy pre-pandemic and constrained the government’s ability to respond to future crises.

  • Result: Undermined U.S. fiscal credibility and created inflationary pressures that eroded global confidence in the dollar as a stable reserve currency.

2. Immigration Policies: Erosion of Human Capital and Global Trust

Restrictionism and Deterrence:

The Trump administration cut legal immigration levels, enacted bans on several Muslim-majority countries, and used family separation as a deterrent—policies widely condemned as inhumane.

  • Impact: Weakened the U.S. as a magnet for global talent, particularly in STEM fields, undermining innovation and economic competitiveness.

  • Result: Countries like Canada, Australia, and Germany increasingly attract high-skill immigrants who once preferred the U.S.

Global Image and Soft Power:

By closing doors and demonizing immigrants, Trump damaged the U.S.’s image as a land of opportunity and moral leadership.

  • Result: Lost soft power, especially among allies and global youth, eroding the moral foundation of U.S. leadership.

3. Environmental Policies: Accelerating Climate Collapse and Global Isolation

Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement:

Trump’s decision to pull out of the Paris Climate Accord isolated the U.S. from nearly every other country on Earth in global climate efforts.

  • Impact: Delayed climate action during a critical decade and gave cover for other lagging countries to stall progress.

  • Result: Damaged U.S. credibility on environmental leadership and led to China and the EU stepping in to fill the void.

Rollback of Domestic Environmental Protections:

By gutting EPA regulations, weakening the Clean Power Plan, and promoting fossil fuels over renewables, Trump accelerated environmental degradation at home.

  • Impact: Increased pollution and carbon emissions, undermining long-term sustainability and economic health.

  • Result: Made the U.S. economy more vulnerable to climate risks—wildfires, storms, floods—while ignoring clean energy opportunities that other nations are rapidly seizing.

Global Consequences: Changing the World Order

Erosion of Alliances and Institutions:

Trump undermined NATO, threatened to pull out of longstanding agreements (e.g., WHO, WTO), and prioritized transactional diplomacy.

  • Impact: Allies question whether the U.S. will honor its commitments, pushing Europe to explore strategic autonomy and Asian countries to hedge with China.

  • Result: A multipolar world is accelerating, with China, the EU, and even regional blocs gaining influence at America’s expense.

Loss of Confidence in U.S. Leadership:

Perhaps most importantly, Trump’s erratic leadership style, disdain for expert advice, and embrace of authoritarian figures has fostered global skepticism.

  • Impact: The U.S. is no longer seen as a predictable or principled leader on major global issues—from pandemics to democracy promotion to climate change.

  • Result: A decline in American credibility, making it harder to form coalitions, lead on values, or coordinate global responses to crises.

Outlook: A Nation in Retreat

If Trump’s influence persists or returns in full via another term, the damage to U.S. leadership could become permanent. The consequences include:

  • A weakened U.S. dollar as global reserves diversify.

  • Brain drain in reverse, with innovators choosing more stable nations.

  • Loss of green energy dominance, with China and the EU leading.

  • A damaged reputation that undermines diplomacy, trade, and investment.

In sum, Trump’s policies—rooted in short-termism, xenophobia, and anti-globalism—are diminishing U.S. leadership, weakening global institutions, and accelerating the long-term decline of America’s credibility and economic future. If not reversed, this shift could mark the end of the U.S.-led liberal world order.

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

Trumpenomics: The Decline of the US

bookmark_borderThe Race Against Time: Climate Crisis vs. the United States

Posted on by admin

by Daniel Brouse
April 12, 2025

Abstract
Humanity stands at a historic crossroads where the accelerating pace of climate change threatens to overtake both our capacity for response and the viability of the global economic system itself. Recent models indicate that without immediate intervention, climate change could cause the collapse of capitalism as we know it—potentially as soon as 2050. At the same time, U.S. political developments—particularly Trump-era trade, fiscal, and environmental policies—may unintentionally hasten this collapse. The central question becomes: Will the U.S. economic system implode before climate change forces its hand, or has irreversible damage already been done?

I. Climate Change: From Hypothesis to Imminent Catastrophe

In the 1990s, we proposed a hypothesis: that climate change would not follow a linear trajectory but would instead accelerate non-linearly—driven by feedback loops such as polar ice melt, permafrost thaw, ocean acidification, and carbon release from soil and forests. Over the following decades, this hypothesis evolved into an established scientific theory, now widely accepted by the international scientific community.

Through collaboration with a physicist from Ohio State University, we observed a startling trend in the “doubling time” of climate impacts. Originally pegged at around 100 years, this timeframe has since shrunk to 10 years, and now—alarmingly—approaches just 2. That means climate-related damages could be 64 times worse a decade from now than they are today. These aren’t worst-case scenarios; they are conservative models assuming no further acceleration.

Our latest models integrate not only geophysical systems but also social, political, and economic feedback loops. The results are grim: we now forecast a potential 9°C rise in global temperatures within this century—a rate that would make much of the planet uninhabitable and render large-scale human migration and system failure unavoidable.

II. A New Threat Emerges: Trumpenomics and the War on Global Stability

Ironically, the Trump administration—through its aggressive trade, credit, and isolationist policies—has accelerated the very breakdown of capitalism that climate change is expected to cause.

The imposition of widespread tariffs, especially those based on falsified “reciprocal” trade deficits, has triggered not just a trade war, but a credit war. This combination has never before been tested in modern economic history. During Trump’s first term, the stage was set. Now, in his second term, the global economy is being subjected to a real-time, uncontrolled experiment.

The administration’s “drill, baby, drill” energy policy, paired with unprecedented regulatory rollbacks, has only deepened the climate crisis. Yet, from an economic systems perspective, it is the trade and credit dislocations that may deliver the first major blow.

III. Global Trade, Capital Flows, and the Liquidity Death Spiral

Most people think of tariffs as mere taxes on goods. But in today’s complex financial system, their impact extends far beyond the shipping yard.

When the U.S. imports less, foreign exporters earn fewer dollars. This reduces their ability to invest in U.S. Treasuries—the bedrock of the global financial system. As demand for Treasuries falls, yields rise, borrowing costs spike, and credit conditions tighten. This sets off a self-reinforcing liquidity crisis, undermining everything from consumer lending to corporate investment.

The risk is real and growing: a scenario where the U.S. dollar loses its global reserve status is no longer the stuff of academic theory. Should this occur, the fallout would include:

  • Exploding U.S. borrowing costs

  • A collapse in consumer purchasing power

  • Capital flight from U.S. markets

  • Severe contraction in both trade and credit

  • Domestic political and social unrest on a scale not seen in modern history

IV. The Tipping Point: Will Climate Collapse or Economic Collapse Win the Race?

The economic trajectory of the U.S. under Trump’s policies suggests that a post-capitalist transition may be triggered by domestic fiscal instability rather than climate catastrophe alone. In other words, the United States may be the first nation to economically implode under the dual weight of environmental and self-inflicted economic collapse.

Complicating matters, the U.S. is simultaneously dealing with aging infrastructure, mounting national debt, deteriorating public health, climate-related disasters, and rising political extremism—all of which erode resilience and reduce the chances of a coordinated national response.

This raises a chilling question: Will the collapse of the U.S. economy accelerate faster than climate change itself—or are we already too late to avoid either fate?

The U.S. dollar’s decline from global dominance — driven by unprecedented political dysfunction and fiscal recklessness — is unraveling the myth of American exceptionalism. Once the cornerstone of international finance, the United States now risks becoming a net liability to the world economy. Paradoxically, this economic unraveling may carry a sliver of hope. If Trump’s economic collapse marks the end of mass consumption, over-leveraged capitalism, and fossil fuel dependency, it could trigger a sharp drop in global emissions and slow the pace of climate change. Such a forced degrowth scenario–where contraction curbs carbon output–might buy humanity precious time to adapt, innovate, and survive. But this path would come at a steep cost: to livelihoods, political stability, and America’s standing in the world.

Conclusion: What Comes After?

Regardless of which crisis arrives first, one outcome is increasingly likely: the U.S. standard of living will fall sharply, and life expectancy may follow. Whether that post-collapse society can still be sustainable—or even enjoyable—will depend on the decisions we make in the next few years.

Our only hope is to treat this as a true “race against time” and respond with urgency, humility, and collective will. The future depends not just on science and economics, but on whether we can choose survival over ideology, cooperation over conflict, and truth over convenience.

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

bookmark_borderProtectionism 101: Trump Economics

Posted on by admin

Most of Trump’s policies are based on common misconceptions and in fact contradict established economic principles. To begin with, the U.S. government often subsidizes companies to keep operations domestic. This can make our products more expensive and our businesses less efficient and competitive. A notable example is electric vehicles (EVs). The U.S. heavily subsidizes EVs, yet we claim we are not, instead asserting that China does this without evidence. Consequently, we impose a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs. As a result, the U.S. lacks competitively priced, domestically produced EVs. Our EV industry has become uncompetitive and inefficient, while China has emerged as the powerhouse of EV manufacturing worldwide. This is just one example of how U.S. misunderstandings of trade have led to our own decline while contributing to China’s rise. These policies have been both Republican and Democratic. Trump’s policies, which are even more misguided and are intended to do this to every industry, are set to accelerate our decline rapidly. World economists estimate that our economy will be devastated within 1 year and 9 months.

For more information on this example see “BYD” and NEV sales. For another devastating example of protectionism see “Deep Seek” and large language model AI.

Protectionist policies have significantly influenced the global landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) and electric vehicles (EVs), creating distinct winners and losers across various industries.

Beneficiaries:

  • China:
    • BYD: A leading Chinese EV manufacturer, BYD has capitalized on domestic support and reduced foreign competition due to protectionist measures.
    • DeepSeek: This Hangzhou-based AI startup has emerged as a formidable player, developing advanced AI models like DeepSeek-R1. Notably, DeepSeek achieved these advancements at a fraction of the typical cost and energy consumption, democratizing AI development and enabling smaller firms to compete.

Adversely Affected:

  • United States:
    • Automotive Companies: Major U.S. automakers such as Ford and General Motors face challenges from increased tariffs and restricted access to international markets, impacting their competitiveness in the EV sector.
    • Technology Firms: Leading tech companies, including Nvidia, Intel, IBM, Qualcomm, Cerebras Systems, Graphcore, Tesla, Baidu, OpenAI, SambaNova, Microsoft, and Apple, have encountered setbacks due to protectionist policies. For instance, Nvidia experienced a significant decline in market capitalization following DeepSeek’s announcement of its R1 model, highlighting the disruptive potential of emerging competitors. For an idea of how costly protectionism can be to the US, Nvidia lost $593 billion in market value the day Deep Seek was announced.

The ripple effects of protectionism extend beyond these industries, notably impacting the energy sector—encompassing electricity, natural gas, and nuclear power—due to shifts in production and consumption patterns driven by evolving trade policies.

Beyond economic implications, protectionist measures can lead to significant technological and military consequences, as nations may struggle to access critical innovations or maintain strategic advantages in key sectors.

If you are interested in a historical example, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 raised tariffs on imports to the United States, which contributed to the Great Depression. In fact, Trump’s policies, combined with bypassing the law and ignoring the Constitution by not having Congress codify legislation, make it appear as though our current economic downturn is accelerating. This is why world leaders and economists are not overly concerned; most agree they will tolerate current U.S. policies creating economic instability and that the collapsing economy will occur before the midterms. After the midterms, he will likely be toothless, if not impeached.

UPDATES: BYD’s Breakthrough Charging Tech Exposes the Pitfalls of U.S. Protectionism in the EV Market

How BYD Surpassed Tesla: The Role of Innovation, Tariffs, and Free Market Dynamics

Tesla vs. BYD
Tesla vs. BYD

MORE EDUCATIONAL MATERIALS ON TRUMP TARIFFS

Déjà Vu Economics: How Trump’s Deregulation and Tariff Policies Mirror the Road to the Great Depression

Trumpenomics: How Tariffs, Policy Cuts, and Labor Shortages Are Devastating American Farmers

The Devastating Impact of Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs

World Economics 101: The United States and Global Trade Dynamics

The Lies Behind Trump’s Terror Economics

Trumpenomics: The Decline of the US

bookmark_borderTerror Threats in the USA

Posted on by admin

Today there are two groups of terrorists in the United States that rank far above any other groups:
1) Evangelical Christians
2) Anarchists

How do you identify members of these hate groups? Well, the Alt-right (radical and Evangelical Christians) are easy to spot. We keep that “basket of deplorables” in our Cabinet. [See Executive Branch U.S.A. 2017]

Anarchists Symbol
Anarchists Symbol

Q: How do you identify an anarchist?
A: Black masks, the anarchist symbol, flags, etc.
2) They like to set fires, rip things down, break windows, fences and other barriers.
3) You can not pay them; however, they will steal from you. They do not believe in ownership of property nor money. They have no boss.

“A black bloc is a tactical strategy used by anarchists, in which individuals wear black clothing, scarves, sunglasses, ski masks, motorcycle helmets with padding, or other face-concealing and face-protecting items.” — Wikipedia

WARNING: Please do not falsely accuse thy neighbor. Anarchists love to hi-jack peaceful protests and turn them violent and ugly. Do not be fooled. The hi-jackers are NOT the same group as the peaceful protesters. They are not liberal students, paid leftist protesters, black lives matter, anti-war, anti-trump supporters or supporters of any kind.

WARNING II: Do not allow the Alt-right to hi-jack the anarchists or all hell will break loose. (Thank you, The Management)

Anarchists At The Inauguration of the President of the United States

Anarchists At Berkeley University

The Anarchists Vs. The Antichrist
The Alt-right Christians and Anarchists, have the same goal — Armageddon.

The radical Christians want to bring on the Armageddon so the Rapture will occur, and they will be “saved” (aka the cleansing of the Earth.)

The anarchists goal is “abolishing all coercive structures” resulting in the cleansing of the Earth. In order for the anarchists to achieve their goal they must take-out the Alt-right government.

Will these two families fight like South Philly Mob families or Chicago gangs?

See also: Radical Christian Terrorists and the Zombie Apocalypse

bookmark_borderRadical Christian Terrorists and the Zombie Apocalypse

Posted on by admin

EARTH — Imagine a group of radical Christians taking over the government and trying to bring on the Rapture (aka The Apocalypse) and the Second Coming.

You no longer need to imagine. A conspiracy of Evangelical Christians are trying to facilitate The End Of Times. They want to fulfill biblical prophecies including:

  1. The Revival of the Roman Empire
  2. The Emergence of the Antichrist
  3. The Covenant with Israel
  4. Three Periods Between the Rapture and the Second Coming
  5. The War with Russia
  6. The Great Tribulation: Armageddon

The Radical Christian Terrorists believe they will be “saved” when these events occur.

ESCHATOLOGY
Eschatology is the part of theology concerned with death, judgment, and the final destiny of the soul and of humankind.

THE RAPTURE / ZOMBIE APOCALYPSE
Daniel 12
The Time of the End
2 Many of those who are dead in the ground will awake, these to everlasting life, but the others to disgrace and everlasting contempt.

Thessalonians 4:17
17 Then we who are alive and remain will be caught up together with them in the clouds to meet the Lord in the air, and so we shall always be with the Lord.

In Christian eschatology, the Rapture refers to the prophesied event when “Christian believers who have died will be raised and believers who are still alive and remain shall be caught up together with them (the resurrected dead believers) in the clouds to meet the Lord Jesus Christ in the air.”

APOCALYPSE
The apocalypse is the complete and final destruction of the world as prophesied in the biblical books of Daniel and Revelation (the last book of the Bible.)

The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse in the book of Revelation are horsemen on white, red, black, and pale horses. The riders are often seen as symbolizing:

  1. Conquest, Pestilence, the Christ or the Antichrist
  2. War
  3. Famine
  4. Death

“The Christian apocalyptic vision is that the four horsemen are to set a divine apocalypse upon the world as harbingers of the Last Judgment.”

Revelation 6:7-8
When the Lamb broke the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth living creature saying, “Come.” I looked, and behold, an ashen (pale) horse; and he who sat on it had the name Death; and Hades was following with him. Authority was given to them over a fourth of the earth, to kill with sword and with famine and with pestilence and by the wild beasts of the earth.

  • The first seal is broken and the first of the four living creatures introduces a white horse whose crowned rider, equipped with a bow, goes out to conquer.
  • The second seal is broken and the second of the four living creatures introduces a red horse, whose rider wields a great sword.
  • The third seal is broken and the third of the four living creatures introduces a black horse, whose rider carries a pair of scales, goes out.
  • The fourth seal is broken and the fourth of the four living creatures introduces an ashen horse comes out, whose rider has the name Death and Hades follows him.
  • The fifth seal is broken revealing the souls of those who had been slain for the “Word of God”.
  • The sixth seal is broken “and there was a great earthquake; and the sun became black as sackcloth made of hair, and the whole moon became like blood; and the stars of the sky fell to the earth, The sky was split apart, every mountain and island were moved out of their places.”
  • Mankind hides themselves in the caves and mountains acknowledging the presence of Him who sits on the throne and the wrath of the Lamb.

bookmark_borderProtectionism: The Costs and Benefits of Trade Wars

Posted on by admin

by Daniel Brouse

Protectionism is the theory or practice of shielding a country’s domestic industries from foreign competition by restricting imports. There are no known benefits to protectionism. The costs of protectionism include being financially destructive, negatively impacting health and wellness, as well as, causing death. (also see: )

Following are a few examples:

GOLDEN RICE AND THE TRANS PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP
Trade restrictions are often put on agricultural products in an effort for a country to protect its farmers. The result is to harm the general population. Rice is a good example of a crop that is widely protected by trade restrictions. USA Rice states, “The barriers range from ongoing phytosanitary restrictions by Colombia on imports of U.S. paddy rice; a discriminatory and very complex tariff regime in the EU; the trade distorting impact of Thailand’s rice support program; government management of rice imports in Japan and Taiwan; and Korea’s new rice import regime.”

The United States Patent and Trademark Office stated, “Despite current interventions, vitamin A deficiency is the leading killer of children globally (2-3 million annually) and also the leading cause of childhood blindness (500,000 cases annually). Most cases arise in Asia where the staple food eaten by 3.5 billion people daily, white rice, lacks vitamin A sources typically found in meat and leafy vegetables. These deaths and blindness are preventable.”

In 2015, Golden Rice won a humanitarian award. Not only is Golden Rice more nutritious than white rice, it is also less harmful to the environment (since less of it needs to be grown.) There are numerous health benefits from Golden Rice including β-Carotene that provides vitamin A to children. It is estimated that millions of children’s lives could be saved and childhood blindness could be dramatically reduced.

The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) would have eliminated trade restrictions on Golden Rice by the participating countries.

1930 SMOOT-HAWLEY TARIFF ACT
The Tariff Act of 1930 was signed into law on June 17, 1930 by President Herbert Hoover. The act raised U.S. tariffs on over 20,000 imported products. The tariffs imposed an effective tax rate of 60% on many of the goods. The Act also started a trade war with America’s trading partners resulting in reduced American exports and imports by more than 50% contributing to The Great Depression.

Historians estimate at least 3 million civilians died from the Great Depression in the United States, mostly young children, the elderly and women. The main causes were:

  1. malnutrition
  2. infectious disease
  3. attempted child birth
  4. starvation
  5. suicide

THE SHOE TAX
The shoe tax is a remnant of the Smoot–Hawley Act. United States’ shoe tariffs are 10 times higher than the average U.S. tariff rate. According to the U.S. International Trade Commission, in 2011 shoes accounted for 1 percent of merchandise imports, but  provided 7.9 percent of U.S. tariff revenue.

Regressive taxes disproportionately hurt the poor. A regressive tax “imposes a greater burden (relative to resources) on the poor than on the rich.” The money paid in taxes has a larger impact on the ability of lower-income households to satisfy their basic needs, like food, clothing, healthcare and shelter.

PHARMACEUTICAL TARIFFS
In 2006 the WTO said scrapping the tariffs on medicines and drug ingredients would result in “effective action to improve access to medicines and medical devices needed to treat a wide variety of diseases effectively and ensure that these goods reach patients expeditiously at a lower cost.”

“It is ironic that many of the countries that are in urgent need of cheap medicines also have a significant tax added to drugs and medical devices they import,” said Peter Allgeier, the US ambassador to the WTO.

The National Institute of Health stated:
A group of countries, including members of the European Union, Canada, the United States, Japan, Switzerland, and Norway, agreed to eliminate import tariffs on thousands of finished drugs and intermediate ingredients in the Uruguay round trade talks between 1986 and 1994. As a result, out of an average global trade in drugs worth $145bn between 1999 and 2001, $114bn was covered by the initiative. But almost $33bn is still subject to duty, the joint proposal noted.

AL-SHIFA PHARMACEUTICAL FACTORY
Operation Infinite Reach was the codename for an American cruise missile strike on a pharmaceutical plant in Sudan. After helping Sudan build a pharmaceutical factory, the United States blew it up. Initially, the U.S. claimed the plant was making chemical weapons. Eventually, the U.S. admitted there was no evidence the plant was making chemical weapons. The side-effects to the local population included:

  • no supplies of chloroquine (the standard treatment for malaria)
  • relief workers fleeing the country resulting in starvation
  • fostering the attack of 9/11

The trade disruption is estimated to have killed or maimed hundreds of thousands of people many of which were children.

BABY FORMULA IN CHINA
For years China had stiff tariffs on imported baby formula. The lack of competition forced the price higher and the quality lower. In 2012, China’s consumer quality regulator found an “unusual amount” of mercury in baby formula produced by Yili Industrial Group Co. “At present, the country has no standards on mercury limits in milk powder. But to be responsible to consumers, the company decided to recall all related products,” said the company.

It is unclear how many children have been malnourished or poisoned due to China’s trade policy. Under free-trade agreements, such as the TPP, countries can not put tariffs on the product and the product must meet the health and safety standards of the USA.

bookmark_borderTrade War! What Is It Good For?

Posted on by admin

By Daniel Brouse

International Economics 101
What do you think of when you hear the term “trade war”?
The costs and benefits to society are very similar to traditional warfare.
1) Financial Cost. A war is expensive. In a trade war, huge tariffs are placed on the purchase of imports. A tariff is a sales tax paid for by the citizen. Quite often this tax can be as high as 45% or the product even banned altogether. The tax is paid by the citizen to their government. The financial loss from the in-efficiency of paying large taxes is a tremendous burden on the country’s own citizens. In addition, there are usually large costs to the private sector. These costs can include high interest rates, inflation and loss of value to liquid assets. The standard of living declines.
2) Casualties / Loss Of Life. Millions of people are maimed or die in a trade war. The easiest examples in recent history would be the impacts on baby formula or pharmaceuticals. Hundreds-of-thousands of children, as well as, adults in need of medication died because these items were targeted in trade wars. Another example is maiming children by targeting vitamin A (causing childhood blindness.) Typically, trade wars impact the most vulnerable first — babies, the sick and the elderly.

bookmark_borderFUD (Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt)

Posted on by admin

By Daniel Brouse
For Widgette / Private Business

Has America turned into a giant Tupperware Party?

The field of consumer behavior is a social science that studies the psychology of consumerism. There are five basic psychological tactics to marketing:
* emotional and psychological appeals
* optimize credibility by highlighting your flaws
* re-position your competition
* promote exclusivity
* introduce fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD)

Fear, Uncertainty, And Doubt (FUD)

The "Daisy Ad" Video
The “Daisy Ad” Video (Click for Video and Audio)

Fear is very powerful in marketing. An example of fear advertising happened when Lyndon Johnson ran against Barry Goldwater in 1964. Johnson wanted to stoke public fear that Goldwater would cause a nuclear war. The “Daisy ad” or “Peace, Little Girl” ran only one time. It showed a little girl picking petals from a daisy, followed by a nuclear explosion and Johnson ominously stating, “These are the stakes. To make a world in which all of God’s children can live, or to go into the dark.” Johnson won, carried 44 states, and took 61% of the vote in a landslide victory.

One of the first companies to use FUD as its business model is Tupperware. They pioneered the direct marketing strategy made famous by the Tupperware party. “A Tupperware party is run by a Tupperware ‘consultant’ for a host who invites friends and neighbors into his or her home to see the product line. Tupperware hosts are rewarded with free products based on the level of sales made at their party. Parties also take place in workplaces, schools, and other community groups.”

When friends and neighbors attend a Tupperware party, the host introduces fear, uncertainty, and doubt to the participants. The consumer is made to worry what their friends and neighbors will think of them if they don’t make a purchase. There is fear of being publicly humiliated and doubt whether you will be un-friended.

The most disturbing use of FUD is Donald J. Trump. The Donald has used every trick in the book when it comes to using fear, uncertainty and doubt to motivate people. The current atmosphere makes one wonder — “Has America turned into a giant Tupperware party?”

bookmark_borderFrance Ups Cybersecurity

Posted on by admin

France said the number of cyber attacks against the defence ministry have doubled each year. 24,000 attacks had been thwarted in 2016.

Security services have warded off attacks aimed at “tarnishing the image of the ministry as well as strategic attacks – harassment, surveillance, espionage – and even attempts to disrupt our drone systems,” Defence Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said. “Thankfully, our defences were sufficient and none of these attacks were successful.”

“France reserves the right to respond by all means it deems appropriate,” he said. “That could be through the cyber arsenal at our disposal but also by conventional means. Everything would depend on the effects of the attack.”

“If there was an attempt to influence or manipulate the US presidential election, it would be a very serious incident. If it were led by a state government, it would be an intolerable interference. Targeting a country’s electoral process is an attack on its democratic foundations and its sovereignty, he added. Of course our services have discussed the issue, if only to learn lessons for the future,” said Le Drian

France plans to deploy 2,600 “digital soldiers” by 2019.