Category Archives: Environment

Environment

Feedbacks and Runaway

Hansen’s recent analyses provide evidence consistent with accelerating climate change and increasing climate sensitivity, findings that align with several aspects of our nonlinear acceleration framework. While interpretations differ regarding magnitude and future trajectories, the growing body of observational evidence suggests that multiple climate indicators are exhibiting nonlinear behavior and interacting feedbacks. References Primary Sources Brouse, […]

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Amazon Rainforest Dieback: Emerging Risks, Feedback Loops, and Scenario-Based Projections

by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee June 3, 2026 Framing the Question The Amazon rainforest is widely recognized as one of Earth’s most important climate-regulating ecosystems. It functions as a major carbon sink, stores vast quantities of carbon in vegetation and soils, recycles moisture across South America, and supports extraordinary biodiversity. A growing body of […]

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Rainforest Dieback Risk

Reduced Moisture Recycling and Lowered Tipping Thresholds Increase Amazon Rainforest Dieback Risk Under Combined Deforestation and Climate Warming Abstract Recent research synthesis indicates that the stability of the Amazon rainforest is increasingly threatened by the interaction of global warming and regional land-use change. Deforestation is reducing evapotranspiration-driven moisture recycling, weakening regional precipitation patterns and extending […]

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Is Climate Change on a Runaway Train?

by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee A Public-Access Discussion of Nonlinear Climate Risk Abstract Climate change is often discussed in terms of gradual warming. However, growing evidence suggests that many climate impacts may be accelerating through interacting feedback loops and nonlinear system behavior. This raises an important question: Is climate change entering a runaway state? […]

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Climate Change Experiment

Author’s Note What do we think? I am an economist whose work has focused on climate risk management, complex systems, and nonlinear acceleration. My research partner, Sidd Mukherjee, is a physicist. While my background centers on economics, risk, and system dynamics, Sidd’s work extends into areas such as ultra-low-temperature physics, where measurements can approach within […]

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Is Climate Change a Runaway Train?

Q: Runaway? Are you suggesting that’s possible or likely? A: It depends on how you define “runaway.”The term “runaway” is often interpreted in a very binary or absolute way, when in reality what we are dealing with may be a spectrum of increasing nonlinear behavior and interacting feedbacks.A core challenge is that we don’t yet […]

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The Compression of Time: Where Are We in Climate Change?

The Compression of Time: Where Are We in Climate Change?You Are Here. One of the simplest ways to understand climate change is through the changing frequency of extreme events. In the 1990s, what was considered a 500-year flood was expected to occur, on average, once every five centuries. By the early 2000s, many of those […]

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Climate Change as a Fracture Fractal

In chaos theory, fractal geometry, and fracture mechanics, the pattern you’re describing is usually referred to by several related terms rather than one single universally accepted name: 1. Fracture Fractals The most common scientific term is fracture fractal or fractal crack pattern. These occur when a crack propagates through a material and develops: Examples: 2. […]

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Heat Stress, Environmental Stressors, and the Limits of Human Adaptability

A Follow-Up to Heat Stress, Human Survivability, and the Emerging Physiological Limits of Climate Change http://membrane.com/global_warming/Heat-Survivability-Thresholds.html Q: How Adaptable Are Humans to Rising Heat and Compounding Environmental Stressors? A: Far less adaptable than many assume. Modern humans (Homo sapiens) are approximately 200,000 years old, with some of our closest ancestral lineages dating back roughly 140,000 […]

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Cracked Windshields and Cracked Fractals

What Climate Science Looks Like What does climate change look like? In many ways, it resembles a cracked windshield. At first, you may not notice anything at all. Time passes. The damage appears minor or even invisible. Then one day, a small fracture catches your eye — just a tiny finger crack stretching across the […]

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