December 18, 2025 Executive Summary When Donald Trump took office in January 2025 for his second term, we issued a clear forecast: a rapid deterioration in U.S. economic performance driven by protectionism, institutional erosion, policy uncertainty, and hostility toward science and immigration. That forecast has not only proven accurate—it has materialized well ahead of schedule. […]
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Trump’s Second Term, Year One: Forecast Confirmed, Damage Accelerated
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Tagged economy
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Trump Trade Fiasco: IRobot Bought by China
Make America Die a Slow, Asinine Death (MADaSAD) How Trump’s Tariffs Helped Push an Iconic U.S. Tech Company into Bankruptcy Another American company has become collateral damage of Trump’s inept and self-defeating fiscal policy. iRobot, the U.S. company best known for its Roomba robotic vacuums, filed for bankruptcy in December 2025 after years of mounting […]
Also posted in Business, Finance, Government, International, Politics, Security, Society, taxes
Tagged economy
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Polar Bear Plunge: Will Humans Follow? (Adaptation Part II)
Polar Bear Plunge: Will Humans Follow? Adaptation Part II Daniel BrouseDecember 14, 2025 Abstract In The Plight of the Penguin: Will Humans Follow? (Adaptation Part I), I examined how multiple penguin species—despite short-term behavioral flexibility—are failing to adapt to the pace and scale of anthropogenic climate change. This second paper extends that analysis to the […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, children, Education, Energy, Environment, Finance, Global Warming, Government, health and wellness, International, Medicine, Politics, Science, Security, Society, Trees, weather
Tagged climate change, economy, extreme weather events, insurance
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The U.S. Economy into 2026: Tariffs, Immigration, and the AI Paradox
by Daniel BrouseDecember 13, 2025 Introduction The U.S. economy in 2025 is shaped by three powerful and interacting forces: tariff implementation, restrictive immigration policies, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Each has distinct economic effects, but taken together they create a complex macroeconomic picture with both upside and risk. 1. Tariffs: A Drag […]
Complex Social-Ecological Feedback Loops and You
by Daniel Brouse December 11, 2025 Complex social-ecological feedback loops arise when human systems and natural systems react to climate change in ways that amplify one another. Because the Earth’s climate operates as a nonlinear, chaotic system, these interactions don’t unfold gradually—they can accelerate suddenly, compound unpredictably, and push the system toward irreversible shifts. 1. […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Environment, Global Warming, Government, health and wellness, International, liberty, Politics, Science, Security, Society, Trees, weather
Tagged climate change, economy, insurance
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The Real Cost of Fossil Fuels: How Trump’s Policies Accelerate Economic Collapse
by Daniel Brouse December 10, 2025 Fossil-fuel combustion isn’t just environmentally destructive — it is the single most expensive human activity in the global economy. The illusion of “affordable energy” collapses the moment you account for the actual economic costs: healthcare burdens, lost productivity, infrastructure damage, climate-driven disasters, agricultural losses, ecosystem collapse, and trillions in […]
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Tagged cliamte change, economy, insurance
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The New Era of Economic Uncertainty: How Trump’s Tariff Shock Is Breaking America’s Forecasting Models
Economic forecasting has always carried uncertainty, but under Trump’s current fiscal and trade agenda, that uncertainty has exploded to levels not seen in a century. Policies that economists—left, right, and center—have avoided for 100 years are suddenly being deployed at massive scale. Chief among them: unprecedented import taxation and the largest tariff regime in modern […]
Florida at the Front Line: How Accelerating Sea-Level Rise Is Reshaping the State in Real Time
by Daniel Brouse December 5, 2025 Florida faces a long list of climate-driven threats — extreme heat, stronger hurricanes, toxic algal blooms, and collapsing insurance markets — but accelerating sea-level rise (SLR) sits at the center of nearly all of them. Although the current rise of a few millimeters per year may sound trivial, the […]
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Tagged climate change, economy, flood insurance, insurance, rising sea levels
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Small Businesses Are the First Casualties of Trump’s Tariff Economy — And the Jobs Data Proves It
The latest employment numbers reveal exactly why small businesses are suing President Trump over his tariff policies: tariffs hit small firms and lower-income consumers the hardest, functioning as a stealth tax that now adds anywhere from 20% to over 50% to the cost of many goods compared with last year. And the results are now […]
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Tagged economy
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Trump’s Fiscal Volatility and the Rising Global Risk: How Political Interference Is Destabilizing the Dollar and the World Economy
There are several interlocking elements of Donald Trump’s fiscal and political strategy that are increasingly destabilizing the global economy. As international markets grow more risk-averse, the persistent uncertainty surrounding U.S. institutions — particularly the financial and judicial systems — is eroding confidence in the dollar. The global economy still relies on the dollar as its […]
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Tagged economy
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