Risk Exposure in an Era of Accelerating Climate Instability Daniel BrouseFebruary 21, 2026 Introduction: Climate Risk Is Personal Climate change is often discussed in abstract global terms — temperature targets, emissions pathways, distant timelines. But the impacts are not abstract. They are immediate, measurable, and increasingly personal. Climate change is already affecting your health, your […]
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Climate Change, Personal Health, and Personal Wealth
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Supreme Court Strikes Down Most of Trump’s “Reciprocal” and “Liberation Day” Tariffs
In a landmark ruling issued today, February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated the majority of President Donald Trump’s sweeping “reciprocal” and “Liberation Day” tariffs, dealing a major blow to his trade agenda. Key Takeaways from the Ruling Executive OverreachThe Court found that while the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) permits regulation of […]
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Growth Slows, Inflation Stalls: A Troubling Economic Signal
Today’s economic data release paints a concerning picture of the U.S. economy heading into 2026. GDP Growth Slows Sharply According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) advance estimate, U.S. real GDP grew at an annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025 (as of February 20, 2026). That marks a significant slowdown […]
Bounded but Accelerating: Nonlinear Climate Dynamics and the Real Risk Landscape of the 21st Century
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeFebruary 17, 2026 Executive Summary Human extinction from climate change in the next century is unlikely based on current mainstream physical science. However, the rate of climate system acceleration is deeply concerning. The risk facing humanity is not runaway “Venus-style” physics. The risk is rapid nonlinear acceleration within thermodynamic bounds […]
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Trump — One of the Largest Sewage Spills in US History
This is exactly the type of cascading infrastructure failure I addressed in our paper, “Systemic Infrastructure Risk in a Nonlinear Climate: Economic and Public Safety Implications for the United States.” The paper was intentionally non-partisan, so the implications may not have been obvious to some readers. But once the public narrative shifts into political blame […]
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Pennsylvania Considers PJM Exit Amid Rising Power Demand and Data Center Growth
In a February 11, 2026 interview, Governor Josh Shapiro said Pennsylvania is considering withdrawing from PJM Interconnection, the regional transmission organization that manages the electric grid across 13 states and the District of Columbia in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. The comments come amid growing concerns about rising electricity demand, price volatility in capacity markets, and […]
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Shrinking Snow: Climate Change and the Future of the Winter Olympics
By Daniel Brouse Under a current-emissions trajectory, the future of the Winter Olympics is narrowing—literally and geographically. By 2050, only an estimated 45 to 55 of the 93 historically eligible mountain locations worldwide are projected to retain the snow depth and cold temperatures required to host the Games. That represents a dramatic contraction in viable […]
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AI, Data Centers, and Electricity Prices: Separating Grid Economics from Hype
By Daniel Brouse There is widespread confusion about artificial intelligence, data centers, and rising electricity prices. The relationship is more nuanced than many headlines suggest. In many states, large industrial electricity users — including data centers — actually help stabilize or lower residential rates by absorbing a significant share of fixed grid costs. In other […]
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Climate Risk, Denial, and the Return of Negative Equity in U.S. Housing Markets
by Daniel Brouse Abstract As of late 2025 and early 2026, negative equity—homes worth less than the outstanding mortgage—has reached its highest level since early 2018. While national averages remain relatively modest, localized distress is accelerating in several rapidly expanded Sunbelt markets. The primary drivers are declining property values in high climate-risk regions, surging insurance costs, […]
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Tagged climate change, economy, real estate
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Prediction Markets, Psychological Fallacies, and the Super Bowl Effect
by Daniel Brouse The rapid proliferation of prediction markets has been fascinating to watch. Recently, I listened to the owner of one such company describe how their platform generated substantial profits during the Super Bowl. What stood out was not simply the scale of betting activity, but the psychological patterns that drove it. The story […]