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The Methane Feedback

by Daniel Brouse Methane feedback emissions are accelerating: methane emissions from climate feedbacks have shown an accelerated, record-breaking surge since around 2007, with a massive spike since 2020. Global Methane & Climate Feedback Trends (2000–Present) Era / Years Avg. Atmospheric Growth Rate Climate Feedback & Wetland Status Key Scientific Discovery & Observations The Stabilization Plateau(2000–2006) […]

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Clean Energy Economy

by Daniel Brouse THE ENERGY IS ALREADY THERE.THE CLEAN ENERGY ECONOMY HARVESTS IT. Tonight’s homework assignment: Clean Energy Economy. Energy cannot be created or destroyed. But it can be harnessed, converted, stored, transmitted, and used. The sun is already delivering enormous amounts of energy to Earth. The atmosphere is already moving. Winds are already blowing. […]

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Change in Climate Change: Δc

by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Since the ’90s, we’ve been in pursuit of change in climate change (Δc). It took us about 10 years to recognize that the rate of change was doubling on roughly a 100-year timescale. By 2020, the acceleration in acceleration had changed substantially: the doubling interval had compressed to roughly […]

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2022–2026 Climate Jerk Surge: Albedo–Cloud–Ocean Heat Content Triad

by Daniel Brouse ABSTRACT The recent change in climate-system dynamics is being expressed not simply as continued warming, but as increasing synchronization among multiple radiative and thermal feedback pathways. Beginning most notably around 2022, the climate system exhibits an increasingly interconnected pattern among six major variables: cloud cover, planetary albedo, sea ice extent, atmospheric water […]

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2022–2026 Jerk Surge Math & Methods

by Daniel Brouse Multiple Feedback Coupling Becomes Observable Beginning most notably around 2022, multiple climate-system feedbacks appear to be increasingly coupled, with changes in several major climate variables occurring simultaneously and in physically connected directions. The analysis tracks six climate-system variables: These six variables generate 15 unique pairwise coupling paths, which are combined into a […]

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How Is Climate Energy Hitting You? California: Wave to Kelvin

by Daniel Brouse Chaos Theory Oceanic Teleconnection: Tropical Pacific Energy → U.S. West Coast A powerful El Niño is sending a massive pulse of ocean energy north along the Pacific coast—and California could see local sea levels rise by about a foot this fall. The Weather Channel reports that a coastally trapped Kelvin wave generated […]

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The Crack Spread: A Dramatic Shift in Refining Margins

The price difference between a refined petroleum product—such as gasoline or diesel—and the crude oil used to produce it is known as the crack spread. It is a widely used measure of refining margins and provides a useful way to examine how the relationship between crude oil costs and finished-fuel prices changes over time. Key […]

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Climate Debt Collection

What happens when we miss the 1.5°C Paris target? Think of it like owing money to a loan shark. The debt doesn’t wait decades to be collected. Our fingers are being broken now.Our kneecaps are next. One of the biggest challenges in communicating climate change is proximity—both in time and location. If the consequences seem […]

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Feedback Feedback

Which Climate Feedback Is Accelerating Fastest? by Daniel Brouse Simplified Introduction Which climate feedback is accelerating fastest? We often ask which feedback is strongest. But there’s another question that may be even more important: What happens when climate feedbacks begin combining—and amplifying one another? Water vapor is the strongest positive feedback. Ice and snow albedo […]

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About the Price of Oil: The Price You Don’t See

What Does a Barrel of Oil Cost—and What Does It Mean to You? When you hear the price of oil reported on the news, you are usually hearing the futures price. But what does that number actually mean? The futures price is essentially a “paper” price. Very little physical oil actually changes hands through the […]

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