by Daniel Brouse Introdution 🌎 THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY +4°C → +7°C: From Civilization Crisis to Human Survival Crisis What happens to humanity if Earth doesn’t stop at +2°C or +3°C—but eventually reaches +4°C and then +7°C? There is no scientifically established population number for a +7°C Earth. But the physical constraints are becoming increasingly […]
Category Archives: Security
The Future of Humanity: +4°-7°C
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From Climate Denial to Climate Authoritarianism: Fossil Fascism, Ecofascism, and Petro-Masculinity
by Daniel Brouse Introdution 🌎 FROM CLIMATE DENIAL TO CLIMATE AUTHORITARIANISM Climate politics is evolving. As outright denial becomes harder to sustain, the narrative can shift from: “Climate change isn’t happening.”→ “Fixing it will cost too much.”→ “Blame the outsiders.”→ “Protect our resources.” This article examines four related concepts: 🔹 Climate denial & climate delay🔹 […]
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When Climate Change Hits the Wallet: Insurance, Interest Rates, and Taxes
by Daniel Brouse What will change consumer behavior when it comes to climate change? Money. Insurance, interest rates, and taxes. Most consumers do not substantially change their behavior until doing nothing becomes cost prohibitive. For years, we assumed that climate change was unlikely to change consumer behavior in the near term. Climate change seemed too […]
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Climate Denialism, Obfuscation, Suppression and Normalization
By Daniel Brouse Simplified Introduction UK Climate Security: From Suppression to the Domino Effect Climate change is increasingly moving from the category of environmental problem into the category of systemic risk. A recently reported UK national-security assessment warned that climate and ecological disruption can cascade across borders—affecting food security, economies, migration, and political stability. The […]
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Oil Shipping Costs Explode: From ~$16,000 to More Than $1.2 Million a Day
The cost of transporting crude oil by the world’s largest oil tankers has reached extraordinary levels. On the benchmark TD3C route — a 270,000-metric-ton Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) traveling from the Middle East Gulf to China — daily time-charter-equivalent (TCE) earnings have surged from roughly $16,000/day in 2020 to more than $1.2 million/day in […]
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About the Price of Oil: The Price You Don’t See
What Does a Barrel of Oil Cost—and What Does It Mean to You? When you hear the price of oil reported on the news, you are usually hearing the futures price. But what does that number actually mean? The futures price is essentially a “paper” price. Very little physical oil actually changes hands through the […]
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How much land do I need for my own shit?
Tonight’s homework assignment: How much land do I need for my own shit? (AKA The Eat n’ Poop Experiment) Both literally and figuratively. This is an experiment I’ve been working on for years. And when you actually try to do it—when you have to think about where your food comes from, where your water comes […]
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Scientists Using AI: From Computational Efficiency to Climate Innovation
by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Why Do Scientists Use AI? The short answer is: We’ve conducted case studies on the use of AI in a wide variety of environments, including everything from the dynamics of nonlinear chaotic systems to songwriting and musical production. All produced similar results—benefits to the environment, the economy, and society. […]
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Sea-Level Rise: Rubbing Salt in the Wound
by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee How Is Climate Energy Hitting You? The Jersey Shore Is Sure Sea-Level Rise: Rubbing Salt in the Wound Sea-level rise is not simply a matter of the ocean getting higher. Climate change is altering the physical forces that move water toward and onto the shoreline. Rising seas, changing atmospheric […]
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The Bleeding Edge of Climate Change
by Daniel and Sidd While Sidd was in town, I took some notes. Somehow, they turned into this: Climate Change: The Big Picture There are many ways to look at climate change. From a micro perspective, there are millions of individual feedbacks operating throughout the Earth system. From a macro perspective, there is the climate […]
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