Complex social-ecological feedback loops arise when human systems and natural systems react to climate change in ways that amplify one another. Because Earth’s climate operates as a nonlinear system, these interactions do not unfold gradually — they can accelerate suddenly, compound unpredictably, and push the system toward irreversible shifts. This nonlinear, cross-regional feedback behavior is […]
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Denialism and Ecofascism
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Violent Rain Damage
The destructive power of both wind and water scales approximately with the square of velocity (v²), meaning relatively small increases in flow speed can lead to disproportionately large increases in force and damage. Density further amplifies these impacts. Because water is approximately 800 times denser than air, a 10 mph flow of water can exert […]
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Climate Change and Civilization Collapse
What Is Civilization Collapse? Humans are unlikely to face immediate extinction under foreseeable climate scenarios. Our species possesses technological capabilities, global communication networks, and a remarkable ability to adapt to changing conditions. Let’s lower the bar then to civilization collapse and define the term. Not talking about timeframes, could you explain what that term means […]
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Soil–Insect Climate Feedback Collapse
The soil has begun transitioning from a carbon sink into a carbon source. by Daniel Brouse Soil–Insect Climate Feedback Collapse: How Climate Change Is Triggering a Downward Spiral in Earth’s Hidden Ecosystems Introduction: The Collapse Beneath Our Feet Climate change is not only transforming the atmosphere, oceans, and visible landscapes of Earth; it is also […]
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Climate Change Simplified
Introduction The central question is no longer: Q: “How Fast Is the Earth Warming?” The more important question is: Q: “Has Earth ever experienced a climate change with this combination of speed, acceleration, and simultaneous disruption across Earth?” There is no comparison in the geological record. The present is revealing a system changing at a […]
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Beyond Temperature: What Climate Change Really Means
Climate change is often framed around a simple comparison: How much colder were ice ages than the climate before the Industrial Revolution? While historical temperature comparisons remain scientifically important, they no longer capture the most significant feature of modern climate change. The more important question today is: Has Earth ever experienced a climate transition with […]
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Climate Responsibility and Accountability
Addendum to: Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse http://membrane.com/global_warming/Basic-Economics.html Climate Responsibility and Accountability Introduction The original purpose of Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse was to focus on practical solutions rather than assigning blame. Since its publication, however, many […]
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The Evolution of Climate Change: From Linear Warming to Nonlinear Earth-System Acceleration
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee During the 1980s, I worked primarily as an economist specializing in risk management. By the early 1990s, however, it had become clear that the greatest systemic risk facing civilization was not financial—it was climate change. Working with physicist Sidd Mukherjee, we began developing what we called the Nonlinear Acceleration […]
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The Full Economic Burden of Climate Change in the United States
Beyond Point Estimates: An Ensemble-Based Probabilistic Framework for Estimating the Full Economic Burden of Climate Change in the United States Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Abstract Traditional estimates of climate damages generally report single-value estimates or narrow ranges that fail to capture the cascading uncertainty inherent in coupled human-natural systems. Climate change is not a […]
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Addendum: Distinguishing the Benefits of Energy from the Costs of Fossil Fuel Combustion
A common criticism of climate damage accounting is that it focuses on the costs of fossil fuels without acknowledging the benefits they have provided to modern civilization. This criticism conflates two distinct concepts: the benefits of energy and the benefits of burning fossil fuels. This paper does not argue that reliable energy, transportation, heating, cooling, […]
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