by Daniel Brouse Introdution 🌎 THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY +4°C → +7°C: From Civilization Crisis to Human Survival Crisis What happens to humanity if Earth doesn’t stop at +2°C or +3°C—but eventually reaches +4°C and then +7°C? There is no scientifically established population number for a +7°C Earth. But the physical constraints are becoming increasingly […]
Category Archives: War And Peace
The Future of Humanity: +4°-7°C
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Tagged climate change, economy
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Oil Shipping Costs Explode: From ~$16,000 to More Than $1.2 Million a Day
The cost of transporting crude oil by the world’s largest oil tankers has reached extraordinary levels. On the benchmark TD3C route — a 270,000-metric-ton Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) traveling from the Middle East Gulf to China — daily time-charter-equivalent (TCE) earnings have surged from roughly $16,000/day in 2020 to more than $1.2 million/day in […]
About the Price of Oil: The Price You Don’t See
What Does a Barrel of Oil Cost—and What Does It Mean to You? When you hear the price of oil reported on the news, you are usually hearing the futures price. But what does that number actually mean? The futures price is essentially a “paper” price. Very little physical oil actually changes hands through the […]
The Future of Energy Is Not Static
By Daniel BrouseEconomist & ClimatologistMembrane Domain USAAugust 10, 2026 I’m not certain what the future holds. I don’t think anyone can be. But I’m also not convinced that the future of fossil fuels can be projected simply by looking at today’s production levels and assuming they will continue indefinitely. There is a very real possibility […]
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Tagged climate change, economy
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Science Is Science: Confronting Denialism and Ecofascism
About Denialism and Ecofascism: Science Is Science The ObservationGlad to know you’re watching out! At the same time, this divisiveness—when we desperately need everyone to pull together because it’s a CRISIS, right?—makes me somehow deeply sad. That’s a big job right there… How do we reach those who seem furthest away from any kind of […]
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Tagged climate change, economy, real estate
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Worldwide Water Wars
Climate Change, Water Scarcity, and the Geopolitics of a Thirsty Planet by Daniel Brouse Water has become one of the defining geopolitical resources of the 21st century. Population growth, aging infrastructure, groundwater depletion, pollution, and climate change have pushed many of the world’s major river basins toward what researchers increasingly describe as global water bankruptcy—a […]
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Tagged climate change
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Climate Change and Civilization Collapse
What Is Civilization Collapse? Humans are unlikely to face immediate extinction under foreseeable climate scenarios. Our species possesses technological capabilities, global communication networks, and a remarkable ability to adapt to changing conditions. Let’s lower the bar then to civilization collapse and define the term. Not talking about timeframes, could you explain what that term means […]
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Tagged climate change
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“Jellyfish” Drone Swarm Report Sparks Intelligence Debate Over Iranian Autonomous Warfare Claims
A newly surfaced U.S. military intelligence debriefing from a downed F-15 pilot has ignited debate within defense and intelligence circles after describing what appears to be a highly synchronized Iranian drone formation operating as a single coordinated system during combat operations over Iran in April. According to a report published June 23, 2026, the pilot […]
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A Coupled Framework for Compression of Climate Impact Doubling Times
Climate Jerk in Socio-Ecological Systems By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Abstract Conventional climate-risk analysis often treats impacts as the downstream consequence of physical hazard intensification alone. In this framing, rising losses, displacement, mortality, infrastructure disruption, and systemic instability are interpreted primarily as a function of increasing temperature, precipitation extremes, sea-level rise, or other physical […]
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Tagged cliamte change
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Trump Announces Prospective Iran Deal, But Questions Remain
President Donald Trump announced that the United States and Iran have reached what he described as a “great settlement” that could bring an end to the current conflict and lead to a formal agreement as early as this weekend. According to Trump, the breakthrough came after intense negotiations and recent military pressure. He characterized the […]
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