In 2025, U.S. manufacturing employment did not experience a revival — it continued to decline. By year-end, the sector posted negative net growth, with an estimated 70,000 to 100,000 jobs lost overall. After brief stabilization earlier in the year, the final eight months saw consistent monthly job losses, reflecting weakening demand, trade policy uncertainty, and […]
Category Archives: taxes
The Re-Shoring Lie: Why Manufacturing Job Losses Persist Despite the Rhetoric
Cracked Fractals: Climate Thermodynamics, Insurance Instability, and Sovereign Debt Transmission in Late-Stage Capitalism
by Daniel Brouse (February 2, 2026 update to an ongoing study) Abstract The relationships between climate physics and modern financial structure are complex, dynamic, and fundamentally non-linear. This paper examines the transmission mechanisms linking climate destabilization to structural fragility within advanced capitalist economies. Drawing on thermodynamics, actuarial science, and sovereign debt dynamics, it argues that […]
Producer Prices Surge as Tariff Pass-Through Accelerates: Affordability Pressures Are Building
Today’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report came in not only high, but above already elevated expectations. U.S. producer prices posted their largest monthly gain in five months — a clear signal that cost pressures inside the supply chain are intensifying. This should not be surprising. Tariffs function as a tax on imports. When imposed, they […]
AI, Immigration, and Productivity
by Daniel Brouse January 29, 2026 Protectionist, nationalist, and anti-immigration economic policies are interacting with — and in some cases accelerating — the rapid deployment of artificial intelligence and automation technologies. Trillions of dollars in public and private capital are now being directed toward AI infrastructure, robotics, machine learning systems, and computational hardware. These investments […]
Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse
Summary: Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse http://membrane.com/global_warming/Basic-Economics.html In this paper, Daniel Brouse argues that climate change and misguided economic policies are converging to create systemic risks that threaten both global capitalism and human habitability. He frames climate change as a nonlinear system driven by tipping points […]
From January 6 to Today: How Federal Violence and Political Rhetoric Threaten Democratic Stability
On January 6, 2021, thousands of supporters of then-President Donald Trump gathered in Washington, D.C., responding to his calls to “stop the steal” and to pressure then–Vice President Mike Pence and Congress to reject the 2020 election results. Many of these supporters believed the election had been “stolen by emboldened radical-left Democrats.” Following the rally, […]
Trump’s Second Term, Year One: Forecast Confirmed, Damage Accelerated
December 18, 2025 Executive Summary When Donald Trump took office in January 2025 for his second term, we issued a clear forecast: a rapid deterioration in U.S. economic performance driven by protectionism, institutional erosion, policy uncertainty, and hostility toward science and immigration. That forecast has not only proven accurate—it has materialized well ahead of schedule. […]
Trump Trade Fiasco: IRobot Bought by China
Make America Die a Slow, Asinine Death (MADaSAD) How Trump’s Tariffs Helped Push an Iconic U.S. Tech Company into Bankruptcy Another American company has become collateral damage of Trump’s inept and self-defeating fiscal policy. iRobot, the U.S. company best known for its Roomba robotic vacuums, filed for bankruptcy in December 2025 after years of mounting […]
The U.S. Economy into 2026: Tariffs, Immigration, and the AI Paradox
by Daniel BrouseDecember 13, 2025 Introduction The U.S. economy in 2025 is shaped by three powerful and interacting forces: tariff implementation, restrictive immigration policies, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Each has distinct economic effects, but taken together they create a complex macroeconomic picture with both upside and risk. 1. Tariffs: A Drag […]
Tipped Tipping Points: The Non-Linearity of Climate Collapse
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee December 12, 2025 Introduction The non-linearity of collapse describes how complex systems can appear stable for long periods before experiencing a sudden, rapid, and often unexpected breakdown. Instead of declining gradually, systems absorb stress quietly until they cross a critical threshold—after which deterioration becomes abrupt, exponential, and irreversible. This […]