by Daniel BrouseDecember 13, 2025 Introduction The U.S. economy in 2025 is shaped by three powerful and interacting forces: tariff implementation, restrictive immigration policies, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Each has distinct economic effects, but taken together they create a complex macroeconomic picture with both upside and risk. 1. Tariffs: A Drag […]
Category Archives: taxes
Tipped Tipping Points: The Non-Linearity of Climate Collapse
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee December 12, 2025 Introduction The non-linearity of collapse describes how complex systems can appear stable for long periods before experiencing a sudden, rapid, and often unexpected breakdown. Instead of declining gradually, systems absorb stress quietly until they cross a critical threshold—after which deterioration becomes abrupt, exponential, and irreversible. This […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, Energy, Environment, Finance, Global Warming, health and wellness, International, liberty, Politics, Science, Security, Society, Trees, weather
Tagged climate change, economy, insurance
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Fed Rate Cut Sparks Internal Division as Quiet QE Resurfaces
What the December 10, 2025 FOMC Decision Really Means for the Economy The Federal Reserve wrapped up its meeting today with a 0.25% interest rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range down to 3.50%–3.75% — its third consecutive cut after similar moves in September and October. On the surface, this looks like a simple […]
The Real Cost of Fossil Fuels: How Trump’s Policies Accelerate Economic Collapse
by Daniel Brouse December 10, 2025 Fossil-fuel combustion isn’t just environmentally destructive — it is the single most expensive human activity in the global economy. The illusion of “affordable energy” collapses the moment you account for the actual economic costs: healthcare burdens, lost productivity, infrastructure damage, climate-driven disasters, agricultural losses, ecosystem collapse, and trillions in […]
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Tagged cliamte change, economy, insurance
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The New Era of Economic Uncertainty: How Trump’s Tariff Shock Is Breaking America’s Forecasting Models
Economic forecasting has always carried uncertainty, but under Trump’s current fiscal and trade agenda, that uncertainty has exploded to levels not seen in a century. Policies that economists—left, right, and center—have avoided for 100 years are suddenly being deployed at massive scale. Chief among them: unprecedented import taxation and the largest tariff regime in modern […]
Small Businesses Are the First Casualties of Trump’s Tariff Economy — And the Jobs Data Proves It
The latest employment numbers reveal exactly why small businesses are suing President Trump over his tariff policies: tariffs hit small firms and lower-income consumers the hardest, functioning as a stealth tax that now adds anywhere from 20% to over 50% to the cost of many goods compared with last year. And the results are now […]
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Tagged economy
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Tariffs, Protectionism, and Economic Self-Harm: Why Costco’s Lawsuit Exposes a Bigger National Problem
Costco Has Sued the U.S. Government — and It Highlights the Bigger Failure of Trump’s Tariff Policy Costco has filed suit against the U.S. government — specifically U.S. Customs and Border Protection — to preserve its ability to receive a full refund on tariffs it has already paid, should the Supreme Court ultimately rule that […]
Trump’s Fiscal Volatility and the Rising Global Risk: How Political Interference Is Destabilizing the Dollar and the World Economy
There are several interlocking elements of Donald Trump’s fiscal and political strategy that are increasingly destabilizing the global economy. As international markets grow more risk-averse, the persistent uncertainty surrounding U.S. institutions — particularly the financial and judicial systems — is eroding confidence in the dollar. The global economy still relies on the dollar as its […]
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Tagged economy
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The Trade Deficit Shrinks — and So Does America’s Economic Pulse
The U.S. trade deficit for August 2025 came in at $59.6 billion, down sharply from a revised $78.2 billion in July. On the surface, this might look like good news for an administration obsessed with shrinking the trade gap. In reality, it is a warning sign — and yet another indictment of Trump’s misguided, economically […]
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Tagged economy
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Trump’s New Healthcare Pitch: Populist Rhetoric, Policy Confusion, and Economic Reality
On November 8 and November 18, 2025, Donald J. Trump posted on Truth Social: “I am recommending to Senate Republicans that the Hundreds of Billions of Dollars currently being sent to money-sucking Insurance Companies in order to save the bad Healthcare provided by [the] Affordable Care Act, BE SENT DIRECTLY TO THE PEOPLE SO THAT […]