The latest developments mark a sharp and consequential turn in the conflict. The United States has declared the war “won” while simultaneously abandoning ongoing peace negotiations. At the same time, officials have justified continued escalation by asserting that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapon—an assertion that remains highly contested. A Pattern of Negotiation and Breakdown […]
Category Archives: Politics
War Update: Escalation, Broken Negotiations, and the Closure of the Strait
Prediction Markets, Oil Futures, and the 6PM Inflection Point
I’ve become increasingly interested in prediction markets—especially how they behave ahead of major geopolitical events. There have been multiple documented instances where unusual trades appeared to anticipate policy decisions tied to the White House, raising persistent questions about information asymmetry and whether some participants are trading on insights others simply don’t have. Tonight at 6:00 […]
The Greatest Economic Lies of All Time: War, Tariffs, and the Hidden Tax on Consumers
Perhaps the two greatest economic misconceptions of the 21st century are: Both claims are not just misleading—they fundamentally distort how the global economy actually functions. The Tariff Illusion: Who Really Pays? The tariff argument is the easier of the two to understand. Tariffs are taxes on imports. In practice, the importer—the domestic company bringing goods […]
War Update: A Failed Strategy and a Shifting Balance of Power
The United States’ attempt to reshape the Middle East through military force and coercion has backfired. Rather than weakening Iran, the conflict has arguably strengthened its geopolitical position and expanded its influence across the region. Before the recent escalation, Iran was widely viewed as a regional power with significant influence in the Middle East, but […]
Economic Update: Uncertainty and Pain
The latest economic data paints a troubling picture for consumers and the broader economy. Inflation accelerated again while personal income declined, creating what is effectively the worst of both worlds for households already struggling with high costs. When wages and personal income fail to keep pace with inflation, families are forced to make difficult choices. […]
Ecofascism and Denialism 101
Introduction By systematically coding behaviors and rhetoric, this research identifies demographic patterns, behavioral characteristics, and ideological markers associated with denialist and ecofascist individuals. Findings indicate that these forms of discourse are dominated by specific demographic groups, exhibit distinctive behavioral traits, and reveal the intersection of ideological and scientific ignorance. Background I initially began investigating denialism […]
“More Winning?” Trump’s Record Baby Bombing
The Human Cost of the 2026 Iran Conflict: Child Casualties and U.S. Military Losses “Promises made, mothers wept.” The 2026 escalation of hostilities in the Middle East has produced an unprecedented spike in civilian casualties, particularly among children. Modern conflicts involving the United States have not seen child casualty figures of this magnitude in such […]
Denialism and Ecofascism in Online Climate Discourse: A Case Study
AbstractThis study investigates patterns of climate denialism and ecofascism in online discourse, analyzing several thousand interactions with English-language climate change posts and comments. By systematically coding behaviors and rhetoric, this research identifies demographic patterns, behavioral characteristics, and ideological markers associated with denialist and ecofascist individuals. Findings indicate that these forms of discourse are dominated by […]
Tariffs, Courts, and the Growing Deficit: The Fiscal Fallout of an Illegal Trade Policy
The U.S. federal budget deficit continues to widen at an alarming pace. During the first five months of fiscal year 2026 (October 2025 through February 2026), the deficit reached $1.004 trillion, highlighting the growing fiscal imbalance facing the United States. Now, a major legal ruling on tariffs threatens to add tens or even hundreds of […]
Climate Change: Is It Too Late?
Well, no. It will never be too late. That is the part the ecofascists are depending on. The physics limits warming to roughly +9°C. At that level, much of the planet would be uninhabitable — oceans would rise dramatically, heat extremes would make large regions lethal to humans, freshwater scarcity would be widespread, and agricultural […]