By Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeFebruary 17, 2026 Executive Summary Human extinction from climate change in the next century is unlikely based on current mainstream physical science. However, the rate of climate system acceleration is deeply concerning. The risk facing humanity is not runaway “Venus-style” physics. The risk is rapid nonlinear acceleration within thermodynamic bounds […]
Category Archives: Energy
Bounded but Accelerating: Nonlinear Climate Dynamics and the Real Risk Landscape of the 21st Century
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Trump — One of the Largest Sewage Spills in US History
This is exactly the type of cascading infrastructure failure I addressed in our paper, “Systemic Infrastructure Risk in a Nonlinear Climate: Economic and Public Safety Implications for the United States.” The paper was intentionally non-partisan, so the implications may not have been obvious to some readers. But once the public narrative shifts into political blame […]
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Southern Hemisphere in Extremis: Heat Domes, Floods, and a Rapidly Changing Antarctica
by Daniel Brouse Many people in the U.S. and EU forget a simple geographic fact: when it’s winter in the Northern Hemisphere, it’s peak summer in Australia and much of the Southern Hemisphere. Climate impacts don’t pause just because it’s cold in New York or Berlin. Right now, the Southern Hemisphere is experiencing extreme and […]
Anthropogenic Global Warming: Evidence and Mechanisms of Human-Induced Climate Change
By Daniel BrouseFebruary 14, 2026 Human-induced climate change, also called anthropogenic global warming, is a physical phenomenon rooted in the radiative properties of greenhouse gases (GHGs), especially CO₂, CH₄, and N₂O, and their interaction with Earth’s energy balance. 1. The Greenhouse Effect Earth receives energy from the Sun primarily in the form of shortwave radiation […]
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Trump Administration Strips Federal Authority to Combat Climate Change — But States and Science Push Back
The Trump administration recently repealed the bedrock scientific finding that greenhouse gases threaten human life and the environment, effectively ending the federal government’s legal authority to regulate the pollution that is dangerously heating the planet. While this move is deeply concerning, there are several reasons for cautious optimism. Most U.S. states already recognize the reality […]
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The Domino Effect: Cascading Climate Tipping Points and Nonlinear Acceleration
Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeFebruary 12, 2026 Abstract Since the 1990s, we have advanced what we termed the Non-Linear Acceleration Hypothesis — the proposition that climate change impacts do not progress linearly, but instead accelerate over time as interacting physical processes amplify one another. Early analysis suggested an approximate doubling time of major climate impacts […]
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Pennsylvania Considers PJM Exit Amid Rising Power Demand and Data Center Growth
In a February 11, 2026 interview, Governor Josh Shapiro said Pennsylvania is considering withdrawing from PJM Interconnection, the regional transmission organization that manages the electric grid across 13 states and the District of Columbia in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. The comments come amid growing concerns about rising electricity demand, price volatility in capacity markets, and […]
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AI, Data Centers, and Electricity Prices: Separating Grid Economics from Hype
By Daniel Brouse There is widespread confusion about artificial intelligence, data centers, and rising electricity prices. The relationship is more nuanced than many headlines suggest. In many states, large industrial electricity users — including data centers — actually help stabilize or lower residential rates by absorbing a significant share of fixed grid costs. In other […]
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Climate Risk, Denial, and the Return of Negative Equity in U.S. Housing Markets
by Daniel Brouse Abstract As of late 2025 and early 2026, negative equity—homes worth less than the outstanding mortgage—has reached its highest level since early 2018. While national averages remain relatively modest, localized distress is accelerating in several rapidly expanded Sunbelt markets. The primary drivers are declining property values in high climate-risk regions, surging insurance costs, […]
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Systemic Infrastructure Risk in a Nonlinear Climate: Economic and Public Safety Implications for the United States
Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeFebruary 8, 2026 Abstract One of the largest and fastest-growing economic costs of climate change in the United States is infrastructure degradation and failure. Intensifying extreme weather events — including flooding, windstorms, heat waves, and heavy precipitation — are stressing systems that were designed for a more stable 20th-century climate. Because […]
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