Category Archives: Government

WTO Warns of Global Trade Slump as U.S. Tariff Policies Hit North America Hardest

By Daniel Brouse April 16, 2025 The World Trade Organization (WTO) highlighted significant concerns regarding the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the global economy, with North America experiencing the most pronounced negative effects.​ Global Trade Outlook Deteriorates The WTO has revised its 2025 forecast for global merchandise trade, now predicting a 0.2% decline, a […]

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Cracked Safe Haven: Historic Deviations in U.S. Treasury Bonds

By Daniel Brouse April 16, 2025 Exceeding a standard deviation means that a data point is significantly different from the average — a statistical red flag. In finance or economics: A move of 1 standard deviation is unusual but not rare. 2 or more indicates extreme behavior — often signaling stress, instability, or systemic change. […]

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Deviation, Cracked Fractals, Climate, and Economics

by Daniel Brouse April 14, 2025 Cracked Fractals & U.S. Climate/Fiscal Policy The U.S. economy and climate systems are exhibiting the erratic behavior of complex systems approaching critical thresholds — resembling “cracked fractals,” those chaotic, fragile patterns that form when dynamic systems near collapse. These structures are not just visual metaphors; they represent branching futures, […]

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The Demise of the Dollar and U.S. Exceptionalism

by Daniel Brouse April 13, 2025 Economic Collapse Ends the Era of Mass Consumption, Capitalism, and Fossil Fuel Dependence In 2017 and 2018, many economists warned of rising inflation and interest rates due to Donald Trump’s economic, environmental, and social policies — warnings that were largely dismissed at the time. Few believed the U.S. dollar, […]

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Dollar Outflows, Fed Policy, and Foreign Mortgage Holdings Amid Economic Strain

by Daniel Brouse April 13, 2025 Over the past three months, global capital flows, Federal Reserve policy, and the health of U.S. mortgage-backed securities have each come under renewed pressure as economic uncertainty deepens. The confluence of a weakening dollar, rising international disinvestment, and domestic credit strains is redefining the outlook for U.S. financial stability. […]

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The Race Against Time: Climate Crisis vs. the United States

by Daniel Brouse April 12, 2025 AbstractHumanity stands at a historic crossroads where the accelerating pace of climate change threatens to overtake both our capacity for response and the viability of the global economic system itself. Recent models indicate that without immediate intervention, climate change could cause the collapse of capitalism as we know it—potentially […]

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When Hypothesis Becomes Theory: Trump’s Trade War Has Triggered a Global Credit War

by Daniel Brouse April 11, 2025 For decades, economists have quietly asked a disturbing hypothetical: What happens if the U.S. launches a trade war and a credit war at the same time? It was an academic curiosity — a thought experiment for textbooks, not real life. Until now. Donald Trump has turned that hypothesis into […]

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Climate Collapse Will Break Capitalism

by Daniel Brouse April 11, 2025 As extreme weather accelerates, the world is nearing a tipping point where insurance — and capitalism itself — can no longer function. The climate crisis is on track to destabilize and ultimately destroy global capitalism, according to a stark warning from one of the world’s largest insurers. Allianz SE […]

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The Economic Reality Behind the Tariff ‘Pause’: A 35% Tariff Rate

by Daniel Brouse April 10, 2025 On April 9, economists were left scratching their heads, wondering why anyone believed that the announcement of a “PAUSE” on tariffs would have any meaningful impact on the economy. It was a classic case of wishful thinking, with little grounding in the hard numbers that define economic reality. By […]

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Wall Street: When First is Last

by Daniel Brouse April 10, 2025 How Some of the Biggest Market Gains Are Actually Signs of the Worst Losses Those who appeared to be first, ended up last. Those who appeared to be last, ended up first. April 9 wasn’t just another volatile day on Wall Street — it was a near-perfect example of […]

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