Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee July 4, 2026 Abstract Global warming is often communicated through changes in average surface air temperature. While useful, this framing understates the fundamental driver of climate change: the accumulation and redistribution of excess thermal energy throughout the Earth system. Because more than 90% of anthropogenic excess heat is stored in […]
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The Evolving Probability Distribution of Climate Extremes: Earth’s Energy Imbalance, Statistical Skewness, and Feedback Coupling in an Increasingly Energetic Climate System
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Climate Responsibility and Accountability
Addendum to: Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse http://membrane.com/global_warming/Basic-Economics.html Climate Responsibility and Accountability Introduction The original purpose of Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse was to focus on practical solutions rather than assigning blame. Since its publication, however, many […]
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Heat Dome Returns as Amplified Rossby Waves Continue to Reshape Global Weather
A strong ridge of high pressure is forecast to build across the eastern United States next week, bringing another round of dangerous heat and humidity to millions of people. In the Philadelphia region, afternoon temperatures are expected to exceed 101°F, while dew points in the 70s will push heat index values even higher. Overnight temperatures […]
Transpiration, Atmospheric Moisture Recycling, and Climate-Driven Heat Stress in a Warming World
by Daniel Brouse What is Transpiration? Transpiration is the biological process by which plants move water from the soil through their roots and vascular system and release it into the atmosphere as water vapor. This release occurs through microscopic pores on leaves called stomata, which also regulate carbon dioxide intake for photosynthesis. In simple terms, […]
The Evolution of Climate Change: From Linear Warming to Nonlinear Earth-System Acceleration
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee During the 1980s, I worked primarily as an economist specializing in risk management. By the early 1990s, however, it had become clear that the greatest systemic risk facing civilization was not financial—it was climate change. Working with physicist Sidd Mukherjee, we began developing what we called the Nonlinear Acceleration […]
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Climate Tipping Points and Cascading Feedbacks
Climate Tipping Points and Cascading Feedbacks: Assessing the Current State of Earth’s Critical Climate Systems (2026 Review) Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee June 2026 Abstract Climate change is no longer characterized solely by gradual increases in global temperature. A growing body of observational evidence demonstrates that multiple components of the Earth system are approaching—or in […]
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Quantifying the Climate Tax: The Full Ledger of Harm
Macro-Welfare Frameworks vs. Economic Justice Valuation in the United States Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee I. Introduction A. Research Problem Climate change imposes large and growing costs on the United States, yet there is still no centralized national ledger that captures the full burden in a unified way. Conventional economic indicators—especially GDP, insured losses, and […]
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A Coupled Framework for Compression of Climate Impact Doubling Times
Climate Jerk in Socio-Ecological Systems By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Abstract Conventional climate-risk analysis often treats impacts as the downstream consequence of physical hazard intensification alone. In this framing, rising losses, displacement, mortality, infrastructure disruption, and systemic instability are interpreted primarily as a function of increasing temperature, precipitation extremes, sea-level rise, or other physical […]
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Climate Displacement and Nonlinear Acceleration: When Extreme Weather Becomes a Systemic Driver of Human Mobility
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Abstract Climate displacement is often framed as a humanitarian consequence of storms, floods, droughts, wildfires, and sea-level rise. That framing is correct but incomplete. The deeper problem is that climate displacement is increasingly emerging from a nonlinear Earth system in which multiple climate hazards are intensifying simultaneously and interacting […]
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Observational Evidence for Climate Jerk: Multidisciplinary Indicators of Accelerating Climate Acceleration
by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Abstract Climate change is commonly described in terms of warming rates and, more recently, climate acceleration. However, a growing body of observational evidence suggests that many climate indicators are exhibiting not merely acceleration, but acceleration of acceleration—a phenomenon known in physics as jerk, the third derivative of change with […]
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