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Dollar Outflows, Fed Policy, and Foreign Mortgage Holdings Amid Economic Strain

by Daniel Brouse April 13, 2025 Over the past three months, global capital flows, Federal Reserve policy, and the health of U.S. mortgage-backed securities have each come under renewed pressure as economic uncertainty deepens. The confluence of a weakening dollar, rising international disinvestment, and domestic credit strains is redefining the outlook for U.S. financial stability. […]

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The Race Against Time: Climate Crisis vs. the United States

by Daniel Brouse April 12, 2025 AbstractHumanity stands at a historic crossroads where the accelerating pace of climate change threatens to overtake both our capacity for response and the viability of the global economic system itself. Recent models indicate that without immediate intervention, climate change could cause the collapse of capitalism as we know it—potentially […]

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When Hypothesis Becomes Theory: Trump’s Trade War Has Triggered a Global Credit War

by Daniel Brouse April 11, 2025 For decades, economists have quietly asked a disturbing hypothetical: What happens if the U.S. launches a trade war and a credit war at the same time? It was an academic curiosity — a thought experiment for textbooks, not real life. Until now. Donald Trump has turned that hypothesis into […]

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Climate Collapse Will Break Capitalism

by Daniel Brouse April 11, 2025 As extreme weather accelerates, the world is nearing a tipping point where insurance — and capitalism itself — can no longer function. The climate crisis is on track to destabilize and ultimately destroy global capitalism, according to a stark warning from one of the world’s largest insurers. Allianz SE […]

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The Economic Reality Behind the Tariff ‘Pause’: A 35% Tariff Rate

by Daniel Brouse April 10, 2025 On April 9, economists were left scratching their heads, wondering why anyone believed that the announcement of a “PAUSE” on tariffs would have any meaningful impact on the economy. It was a classic case of wishful thinking, with little grounding in the hard numbers that define economic reality. By […]

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Wall Street: When First is Last

by Daniel Brouse April 10, 2025 How Some of the Biggest Market Gains Are Actually Signs of the Worst Losses Those who appeared to be first, ended up last. Those who appeared to be last, ended up first. April 9 wasn’t just another volatile day on Wall Street — it was a near-perfect example of […]

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State of the Economic Union: Still Horrible

by Daniel Brouse April 10, 2025 April 9th’s unprecedented bounce in the stock market was nothing more than a temporary sugar high — a dead cat bounce in market jargon. It was fleeting, emotional, and utterly disconnected from the underlying economic reality. Fundamentally, nothing positive has changed. In fact, the situation is worse. Far worse. […]

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Credit War!

by Daniel Brouse April 9, 2025 Trump’s fixation on the 10-year Treasury bond comes down to a perfect storm of contradictions — and desperation. Here’s why it matters: He promised lower interest rates but has no real ability to deliver them. He can’t control interest rates — the market does. His budgets don’t work with […]

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Stock Market Update: A Worsening Economic Landscape

by Daniel Brouse April 9, 2025 At this point, I wouldn’t pay much attention to the stock market. The bond market has effectively become what some are calling the “Trump Put” — a term that suggests Trump will only alter his damaging policies when the pain from a market collapse becomes too severe. That’s essentially […]

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Tariff Turmoil: The Chaos and Confusion Surrounding U.S. Trade Policies in 2025

by Daniel Brouse April 9, 2025 From Sector-Specific Levies to Unpredictable Pauses, Determining What Tariffs Remain in Effect Has Never Been More Complex In a stunning reversal, the Trump administration just announced a 90-day pause on its controversial reciprocal tariffs policy — a clear sign that recent market chaos is starting to bite. With a […]

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