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The Unraveling of American Leadership: How Trump’s Policies Are Reshaping the Global Order and Undermining U.S. Credibility

by Daniel Brouse April 20, 2025 Donald Trump’s economic, immigration, and environmental policies have had significant ripple effects that are altering the global order and undercutting America’s role as a global leader. Here’s a breakdown of how each domain contributes to these broader consequences: 1. Economic Policies: Nationalism Over Globalism Tariffs and Trade Wars: Trump’s […]

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The Dollar in Decline: Capital Flight, Reserve Status, and America’s Economic Reckoning

by Daniel Brouse April 19, 2025 The recent flight from the U.S. dollar reflects a growing movement by investors and central banks to reduce their holdings of dollar-denominated assets—like U.S. Treasury bonds—in favor of alternative currencies, commodities such as gold, or more stable markets offering higher returns. This trend is accelerating due to a combination […]

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It’s the Service, Stupid: Understanding the Real U.S. Economy

By Daniel Brouse April 17, 2025 One of the most fundamental misconceptions of Trumpenomics is the belief that the United States is—or should be—a manufacturing-first economy. In reality, the U.S. has evolved into a service-based powerhouse and is now the world’s largest exporter of services, including finance, healthcare, education, software, intellectual property, and other knowledge-driven […]

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WTO Warns of Global Trade Slump as U.S. Tariff Policies Hit North America Hardest

By Daniel Brouse April 16, 2025 The World Trade Organization (WTO) highlighted significant concerns regarding the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the global economy, with North America experiencing the most pronounced negative effects.​ Global Trade Outlook Deteriorates The WTO has revised its 2025 forecast for global merchandise trade, now predicting a 0.2% decline, a […]

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Cracked Safe Haven: Historic Deviations in U.S. Treasury Bonds

By Daniel Brouse April 16, 2025 Exceeding a standard deviation means that a data point is significantly different from the average — a statistical red flag. In finance or economics: A move of 1 standard deviation is unusual but not rare. 2 or more indicates extreme behavior — often signaling stress, instability, or systemic change. […]

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Climate Change: Rate of Acceleration

By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee August 25, 2023 Update: 2025 How Fast Are Humans Causing the Climate to Change? When we began our experiments in the 1990s, we believed the time scale for significant climate change was measured in millennia. If climate change progressed linearly, that assumption would hold. However, by the late ’90s, […]

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Feedback Loops: How They Accelerate Global Warming

By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee In the 1990s, the Membrane Domain initiated groundbreaking research on human-induced climate change, challenging the prevailing linear models of global warming. Our research introduced a nonlinear, exponential model—akin to the shape of a bathtub curve or hockey stick—which has since been repeatedly confirmed by real-world data. At the heart […]

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Tipping Points and the Domino Effect

By Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeSeptember 2022 – August 2023 (Updated April 2025) Understanding Tipping Points Tipping points and feedback loops are key factors in determining the rate of acceleration of climate change. When one tipping point is breached and triggers others to fall, the result is known as the Domino Effect. To explain: push […]

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Deviation, Cracked Fractals, Climate, and Economics

by Daniel Brouse April 14, 2025 Cracked Fractals & U.S. Climate/Fiscal Policy The U.S. economy and climate systems are exhibiting the erratic behavior of complex systems approaching critical thresholds — resembling “cracked fractals,” those chaotic, fragile patterns that form when dynamic systems near collapse. These structures are not just visual metaphors; they represent branching futures, […]

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The Demise of the Dollar and U.S. Exceptionalism

by Daniel Brouse April 13, 2025 Economic Collapse Ends the Era of Mass Consumption, Capitalism, and Fossil Fuel Dependence In 2017 and 2018, many economists warned of rising inflation and interest rates due to Donald Trump’s economic, environmental, and social policies — warnings that were largely dismissed at the time. Few believed the U.S. dollar, […]

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