by Daniel Brouse May 13, 2025 A couple of months ago, I suggested that those concerned about the future of the economy should focus less on the stock market and more on the bond market. Since then, the divergence between financial market optimism and economic reality has only widened. The stock market, increasingly detached from […]
Tag Archives: economy
Curb the Enthusiasm: U.S.–China ‘Trade Deal’ Is Just a Temporary Pause in a Costly Tariff War
by Daniel Brouse May 12, 2025 A much-publicized “trade deal” between the United States and China was announced over the weekend, sparking an immediate rally in the futures markets. Investors initially interpreted the announcement as a sign of easing tensions between the world’s two largest economies. However, a closer look reveals the agreement is far […]
Posted in Business, Finance, freedom, Government, International, Politics, taxes
Tagged economy
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Misleading Claims on Gas Prices, Inflation, and the Economy: A Closer Look at the Facts
by Daniel Brouse May 10, 2025 “‘Too Late’ Jerome Powell is a FOOL, who doesn’t have a clue. Other than that, I like him very much! Oil and Energy way down, almost all costs (groceries and ‘eggs’) down, virtually NO INFLATION, Tariff Money Pouring Into the U.S. — THE EXACT OPPOSITE OF ‘TOO LATE!’ ENJOY!”— […]
Posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, International, liberty, Politics, Science, Society, taxes
Also tagged climate change
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Uncertainty Reigns: The Fed, Trade Policy, and a Clouded Economic Outlook
by Daniel Brouse May 6, 2025 The Federal Reserve continues to signal uncertainty about the economic outlook, refraining from lowering interest rates amid what it described as “extreme uncertainty.” The central bank appears caught between the two competing arms of its dual mandate—ensuring price stability and maximizing employment—both of which are increasingly in tension. Notably, […]
Posted in Business, Finance, freedom, Government, International, liberty, Politics, taxes
Tagged economy
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Bozo the Rodeo Clown and the Accidental Hits: Music, Message, and the Madness of Our Times
By Daniel Brouse May 6, 2025 The music business remains one of the strangest combinations of art, science, and economics. It’s a world where emotional resonance trumps logic, and where market forces, social movements, and sheer randomness collide to define success. I should know—I put the first record company on the internet back in 1992. […]
Posted in Business, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, History, International, Internet, liberty, Media, music, Politics, Science
Also tagged climate change
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Economic Outlook: Short-Term Uncertainty and Long-Term Certainty
By Daniel Brouse May 3, 2025 The current economic outlook is defined by a climate of short-term uncertainty paired with an emerging long-term certainty—though not of the reassuring kind. Recent GDP data show the U.S. economy contracting in the first quarter of 2025, signaling the beginning of a potential recession. However, these numbers do not […]
Posted in Business, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, International, liberty, Politics, Science, taxes
Also tagged climate change
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The $8 Trillion Disappearing Act: How U.S. Multinationals Skew the Trade Deficit
by Daniel Brouse May 1, 2025 Donald Trump’s Trade Deficit Calculations Ignore the Real Structure of the Modern U.S. Economy Donald Trump’s trade deficit claims are fundamentally flawed, reflecting an outdated view of global commerce and overlooking several major components of the U.S. economy. Most notably, his figures exclude the substantial value of U.S. service […]
The Illusion of Strength and Low Volume
by Daniel Brouse April 24, 2025 Recently, the major stock exchanges have experienced a significant decline in trading volume. When evaluating stock market indexes, it’s essential not just to focus on price movements but also to consider the number of shares traded (volume). Volume acts as a gauge of market conviction and liquidity. Without it, […]
The Unraveling of American Leadership: How Trump’s Policies Are Reshaping the Global Order and Undermining U.S. Credibility
by Daniel Brouse April 20, 2025 Donald Trump’s economic, immigration, and environmental policies have had significant ripple effects that are altering the global order and undercutting America’s role as a global leader. Here’s a breakdown of how each domain contributes to these broader consequences: 1. Economic Policies: Nationalism Over Globalism Tariffs and Trade Wars: Trump’s […]
Posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, History, International, Law, Politics, Science, Security, Society, taxes, War And Peace
Also tagged climate change
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The Dollar in Decline: Capital Flight, Reserve Status, and America’s Economic Reckoning
by Daniel Brouse April 19, 2025 The recent flight from the U.S. dollar reflects a growing movement by investors and central banks to reduce their holdings of dollar-denominated assets—like U.S. Treasury bonds—in favor of alternative currencies, commodities such as gold, or more stable markets offering higher returns. This trend is accelerating due to a combination […]