by Daniel Brouse May 6, 2025 The Federal Reserve continues to signal uncertainty about the economic outlook, refraining from lowering interest rates amid what it described as “extreme uncertainty.” The central bank appears caught between the two competing arms of its dual mandate—ensuring price stability and maximizing employment—both of which are increasingly in tension. Notably, […]
Tag Archives: economy
Uncertainty Reigns: The Fed, Trade Policy, and a Clouded Economic Outlook
Posted in Business, Finance, freedom, Government, International, liberty, Politics, taxes
Tagged economy
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Bozo the Rodeo Clown and the Accidental Hits: Music, Message, and the Madness of Our Times
By Daniel Brouse May 6, 2025 The music business remains one of the strangest combinations of art, science, and economics. It’s a world where emotional resonance trumps logic, and where market forces, social movements, and sheer randomness collide to define success. I should know—I put the first record company on the internet back in 1992. […]
Posted in Business, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, History, International, Internet, liberty, Media, music, Politics, Science
Also tagged climate change
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Economic Outlook: Short-Term Uncertainty and Long-Term Certainty
By Daniel Brouse May 3, 2025 The current economic outlook is defined by a climate of short-term uncertainty paired with an emerging long-term certainty—though not of the reassuring kind. Recent GDP data show the U.S. economy contracting in the first quarter of 2025, signaling the beginning of a potential recession. However, these numbers do not […]
Posted in Business, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, International, liberty, Politics, Science, taxes
Also tagged climate change
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The $8 Trillion Disappearing Act: How U.S. Multinationals Skew the Trade Deficit
by Daniel Brouse May 1, 2025 Donald Trump’s Trade Deficit Calculations Ignore the Real Structure of the Modern U.S. Economy Donald Trump’s trade deficit claims are fundamentally flawed, reflecting an outdated view of global commerce and overlooking several major components of the U.S. economy. Most notably, his figures exclude the substantial value of U.S. service […]
The Illusion of Strength and Low Volume
by Daniel Brouse April 24, 2025 Recently, the major stock exchanges have experienced a significant decline in trading volume. When evaluating stock market indexes, it’s essential not just to focus on price movements but also to consider the number of shares traded (volume). Volume acts as a gauge of market conviction and liquidity. Without it, […]
The Unraveling of American Leadership: How Trump’s Policies Are Reshaping the Global Order and Undermining U.S. Credibility
by Daniel Brouse April 20, 2025 Donald Trump’s economic, immigration, and environmental policies have had significant ripple effects that are altering the global order and undercutting America’s role as a global leader. Here’s a breakdown of how each domain contributes to these broader consequences: 1. Economic Policies: Nationalism Over Globalism Tariffs and Trade Wars: Trump’s […]
Posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, Government, History, International, Law, Politics, Science, Security, Society, taxes, War And Peace
Also tagged climate change
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The Dollar in Decline: Capital Flight, Reserve Status, and America’s Economic Reckoning
by Daniel Brouse April 19, 2025 The recent flight from the U.S. dollar reflects a growing movement by investors and central banks to reduce their holdings of dollar-denominated assets—like U.S. Treasury bonds—in favor of alternative currencies, commodities such as gold, or more stable markets offering higher returns. This trend is accelerating due to a combination […]
It’s the Service, Stupid: Understanding the Real U.S. Economy
By Daniel Brouse April 17, 2025 One of the most fundamental misconceptions of Trumpenomics is the belief that the United States is—or should be—a manufacturing-first economy. In reality, the U.S. has evolved into a service-based powerhouse and is now the world’s largest exporter of services, including finance, healthcare, education, software, intellectual property, and other knowledge-driven […]
WTO Warns of Global Trade Slump as U.S. Tariff Policies Hit North America Hardest
By Daniel Brouse April 16, 2025 The World Trade Organization (WTO) highlighted significant concerns regarding the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the global economy, with North America experiencing the most pronounced negative effects. Global Trade Outlook Deteriorates The WTO has revised its 2025 forecast for global merchandise trade, now predicting a 0.2% decline, a […]
Posted in Agriculture, Business, Energy, Finance, freedom, Government, Politics
Tagged economy
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Cracked Safe Haven: Historic Deviations in U.S. Treasury Bonds
By Daniel Brouse April 16, 2025 Exceeding a standard deviation means that a data point is significantly different from the average — a statistical red flag. In finance or economics: A move of 1 standard deviation is unusual but not rare. 2 or more indicates extreme behavior — often signaling stress, instability, or systemic change. […]
Posted in Business, Finance, freedom, Government, History, International, Politics, taxes
Tagged economy
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