Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee July 4, 2026 Abstract Global warming is often communicated through changes in average surface air temperature. While useful, this framing understates the fundamental driver of climate change: the accumulation and redistribution of excess thermal energy throughout the Earth system. Because more than 90% of anthropogenic excess heat is stored in […]
Tag Archives: climate change
The Evolving Probability Distribution of Climate Extremes: Earth’s Energy Imbalance, Statistical Skewness, and Feedback Coupling in an Increasingly Energetic Climate System
Posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Energy, Environment, Global Warming, Politics, Science, Society, Trees, weather
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How Is Your Electric Made?
I happen to be in a somewhat unusual position geographically—I’m between the Limerick and Peach Bottom nuclear plants, so a significant portion of my electricity comes from nuclear generation. I’m not particularly pro-nuclear because it takes far too long to build new plants, and the construction itself (especially the enormous amount of concrete and steel) […]
Posted in Business, children, Education, Energy, Environment, Global Warming, health and wellness, Science
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“The Waterfall House”: Passive Solar-Driven Heat Rejection Using Phase-Change Energy Transfer
DIY Cooling via Evaporative Roof Water Preface — Business and Environmental Ethics This is a “secret” invention Sidd and I developed some time ago. I call it secret not because it is proprietary in the usual sense, but because we tend to apply a fairly strict internal filter before releasing anything into the wild. Whenever […]
Posted in Business, Education, Finance, Global Warming, Philosophy, Science
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PJM Electricity 900% Price Spike: Capacity Market Shock and Heat-Driven Grid Stress
The current heatwave across the PJM region is unfolding within the broader context of ongoing global warming, where rising average temperatures are increasing both the frequency and severity of extreme heat events. As the climate warms, baseline temperatures shift upward, making extreme heat more likely and more persistent. This results in higher daytime temperatures, reduced […]
Posted in Business, Environment, Finance, Global Warming, Science
Also tagged economy
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Elevated Nighttime Minimum Temperatures and the Intensification of Heat-Health Risk
by Daniel Brouse Abstract Nighttime minimum temperatures are increasing in many regions at a faster rate than daytime maximum temperatures, representing a critical but underappreciated dimension of climate change. Because human and ecosystem recovery from heat stress depends heavily on nocturnal cooling, this trend has important implications for health outcomes, agriculture, energy demand, and ecological […]
Posted in Environment, Global Warming, health and wellness, Science
Tagged climate change
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Ozone References
References Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2021). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2022). Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press. World Meteorological Organization. (2024). State of the Global Climate 2024. Feng, Z., De Marco, A., Anav, A., et al. (2022). Economic losses […]
A New Way to Understand Earth’s Accelerating Climate System
Climate Change Threshold-Driven Dynamics Public Access Edition “This looks complicated.” True—it is complicated, and that’s part of the problem. The climate system involves interacting feedbacks across the atmosphere, oceans, biosphere, and cryosphere, so it can’t really be reduced to a single mechanism or slogan without losing important detail. That’s exactly why we created this version as a public-access […]
Overview of Climate Regime Shift Analysis
From the Industrial Revolution through much of the 20th century, several slowly evolving climate-related indicators exhibited characteristic response times on the order of a century (~10² years), although these vary substantially by variable and data availability. By the 2020s, multiple independently observed Earth system components show accelerated trends with effective timescales in some cases compressing […]
A Unified State-Space Framework for Accelerating Earth System Energy Redistribution
The Climate Acceleration Index and Cross-Component Coherence in Ocean Heat Content, Sea Level, Marine Heatwaves, and Atmospheric Moisture Executive Summary The Earth’s climate system is undergoing a clear regime shift away from historically linear behavior toward accelerating nonlinear and compounding dynamics characterized by systematically shrinking effective doubling times. Multiple independent Earth system indicators demonstrate synchronized […]
A Unified Diagnostic of Earth System Energy Imbalance Across Ocean Heat Content, Sea Level Rise, Marine Heatwaves, and Atmospheric Moisture
SYNTHESIS FRAMEWORK Climate Acceleration Index (CAI): A Unified Diagnostic of Earth System Energy Imbalance Across Ocean Heat Content, Sea Level Rise, Marine Heatwaves, and Atmospheric Moisture Abstract We propose a unified diagnostic framework, the Climate Acceleration Index (CAI), that integrates multiple observational indicators of Earth system energy imbalance into a single nonlinear acceleration metric. The […]