Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeSeptember 3, 2025 Our probabilistic, ensemble-based climate model — incorporating complex socio-economic and ecological feedback loops within a dynamic, nonlinear system — projects that global temperatures could rise by as much as 9°C (16.2°F) within this century. This far exceeds earlier estimates, which predicted a 4°C rise over the next thousand […]
Category Archives: Security
Runaway Climate Feedbacks and Systemic Collapse
Federal Appeals Court Strikes Down Key Trump Tariffs, Deepening Trade Uncertainty
by Daniel Brouse On August 29, 2025, heading into the Labor Day holiday weekend, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington, D.C. delivered a major ruling: most of President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs, along with a separate set imposed earlier this year, are illegal. The decision represents both a constitutional challenge […]
Sea Level Denial vs. Climate Reality: The Accelerating Collapse of Ice Sheets and Ocean Circulation
by Daniel BrouseAugust 29, 2025 Here’s an example response you can use when confronting a climate denier—this one addresses the accelerating rise in sea levels and the collapse of the AMOC. The climate denier said to me: “What an absolute load of BS. Sea level hasn’t changed to ANY verifiable degree in 2,000 years. Sit […]
Trump’s Tariffs Are Crushing U.S. Soy Farmers While Brazil Gains
by Daniel Brouse August 20, 2025 Trump’s latest wave of tariffs is already sending shockwaves through the U.S. agricultural sector, with soybean farmers among the hardest hit. The American Soybean Association has warned that many growers may lose their farms this year, as the trade disruptions come at a critical moment in the harvesting season. […]
America’s Quiet March Toward Socialism: Trump’s Golden Share and the State’s Expanding Grip on Industry
The United States—long celebrated as the global champion of free-market capitalism—is drifting toward state-controlled economics at a pace few could have predicted. Recent developments reveal a pattern of government intervention in critical industries that blurs the lines between capitalism, protectionism, and outright socialism. Trump’s Golden Share in U.S. Steel Perhaps the clearest example comes from […]
Evaporation: Death by Corn Sweat
by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee August 10, 2025 Introduction: Observing a Vanishing Pool I’ve been researching evaporation for decades, but sometimes the most telling experiments happen in my own backyard. At the start of this pool season, rainfall far exceeded evaporation. Then, for the past two months, the balance flipped: with little rain and […]
The Hidden Tax: How Rising Tariffs Harm the U.S. Economy and Burden Everyday Americans
As of August 7, 2025, the effective average U.S. tariff rate on imported goods and services has surged to approximately 22.38%. Historically, that number has hovered around 2.5%, reflecting decades of relatively free trade and open global markets. This abrupt increase represents not only a dramatic reversal of U.S. trade policy, but also the single […]
Tariffs, Hypocrisy, and Geopolitical Backfire: Trump Slaps 50% Tariffs on Indian Goods Over Russian Oil
In a move that is already sparking backlash among global trade experts and U.S. allies, former President Donald Trump has issued a directive to impose an additional 25% tariff on a wide array of Indian goods—raising the total tariff rate to 50%. This decision, according to Trump, is a response to India’s ongoing purchases of […]
The Deadly Nexus: Climate Change, Pathogens, and Political Denial
By Daniel BrouseAugust 6, 2025 A recent study published in JAMA Health Forum, titled “Global Estimates of Lives and Life-Years Saved by COVID-19 Vaccination During 2020-2024”, provides powerful evidence of the lifesaving impact of COVID-19 vaccines. The study estimates that vaccinations prevented 2.5 million deaths globally over the 2020–2024 period. The sensitivity analysis suggests a […]
Tariffs, Sanctions, and Sensibility: Rethinking U.S. Trade Policy in the Age of Climate Crisis
by Daniel Brouse August 5, 2025 I’ve been reflecting on the ongoing trade war and its broader implications—not just economically, but in terms of logic, consistency, and environmental sensibility. A recent twist involving Russian sanctions highlights how disconnected U.S. policy can be from its stated goals. Just this week, Trump threatened to raise tariffs even […]