By Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeFebruary 17, 2026 Executive Summary Human extinction from climate change in the next century is unlikely based on current mainstream physical science. However, the rate of climate system acceleration is deeply concerning. The risk facing humanity is not runaway “Venus-style” physics. The risk is rapid nonlinear acceleration within thermodynamic bounds […]
Category Archives: International
Bounded but Accelerating: Nonlinear Climate Dynamics and the Real Risk Landscape of the 21st Century
Trump Administration Strips Federal Authority to Combat Climate Change — But States and Science Push Back
The Trump administration recently repealed the bedrock scientific finding that greenhouse gases threaten human life and the environment, effectively ending the federal government’s legal authority to regulate the pollution that is dangerously heating the planet. While this move is deeply concerning, there are several reasons for cautious optimism. Most U.S. states already recognize the reality […]
The Domino Effect: Cascading Climate Tipping Points and Nonlinear Acceleration
Daniel Brouse and Sidd MukherjeeFebruary 12, 2026 Abstract Since the 1990s, we have advanced what we termed the Non-Linear Acceleration Hypothesis — the proposition that climate change impacts do not progress linearly, but instead accelerate over time as interacting physical processes amplify one another. Early analysis suggested an approximate doubling time of major climate impacts […]
Shrinking Snow: Climate Change and the Future of the Winter Olympics
By Daniel Brouse Under a current-emissions trajectory, the future of the Winter Olympics is narrowing—literally and geographically. By 2050, only an estimated 45 to 55 of the 93 historically eligible mountain locations worldwide are projected to retain the snow depth and cold temperatures required to host the Games. That represents a dramatic contraction in viable […]
Demographics, Automation, and the Fragility of Growth Capitalism
By Daniel Brouse Modern capitalism, particularly in its post–World War II form, has depended on growth — growth in productivity, growth in consumption, and critically, growth in population. Programs such as Social Security and Medicare are not pre-funded savings accounts; they are transfer systems that rely on a sufficiently large base of current workers paying […]
Judge Rules Trump’s Secret Climate Panel Unlawful: A Crucial Win for Science and Justice
The Trump administration’s covert effort to undermine climate science has been dealt a significant legal blow. A federal judge ruled that the secretive “Climate Working Group,” convened by the U.S. Department of Energy to produce a report minimizing global warming risks, violated federal law. This report was central to attempts by the Trump administration to […]
State Capitalism in America? Price Controls, Golden Shares, and the Reordering of U.S. Markets
Trump has repeatedly promised to dismantle the existing global economic order. Ironically, many of the policies advanced under that banner do not represent a return to free-market capitalism — they signal a shift toward a more state-directed economic model. Globally, the administration has escalated trade conflicts, withdrawn from negotiated trade frameworks, and imposed historically high […]
Price Floors and Power: When Free Markets Give Way to State-Directed Capitalism
U.S. Vice President JD Vance told a meeting of more than 50 countries focused on expanding access to critical minerals that the United States plans to establish a system of price floors for those commodities — a significant intervention in markets traditionally governed by supply and demand. A government-imposed price floor for critical minerals is […]
The Re-Shoring Lie: Why Manufacturing Job Losses Persist Despite the Rhetoric
In 2025, U.S. manufacturing employment did not experience a revival — it continued to decline. By year-end, the sector posted negative net growth, with an estimated 70,000 to 100,000 jobs lost overall. After brief stabilization earlier in the year, the final eight months saw consistent monthly job losses, reflecting weakening demand, trade policy uncertainty, and […]
Cracked Fractals: Climate Thermodynamics, Insurance Instability, and Sovereign Debt Transmission in Late-Stage Capitalism
by Daniel Brouse (February 2, 2026 update to an ongoing study) Abstract The relationships between climate physics and modern financial structure are complex, dynamic, and fundamentally non-linear. This paper examines the transmission mechanisms linking climate destabilization to structural fragility within advanced capitalist economies. Drawing on thermodynamics, actuarial science, and sovereign debt dynamics, it argues that […]