December 18, 2025 Executive Summary When Donald Trump took office in January 2025 for his second term, we issued a clear forecast: a rapid deterioration in U.S. economic performance driven by protectionism, institutional erosion, policy uncertainty, and hostility toward science and immigration. That forecast has not only proven accurate—it has materialized well ahead of schedule. […]
Category Archives: Government
Trump’s Second Term, Year One: Forecast Confirmed, Damage Accelerated
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, International, Law, liberty, Politics, Science, Security, Society, taxes
Tagged economy
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The Dismantling of U.S. Climate Science Under the Trump Administration
In 2025, the Trump administration initiated an unprecedented rollback of federal climate science infrastructure, targeting core research institutions, observational systems, and legal frameworks that have underpinned U.S. and global climate understanding for decades. The most striking move came on December 16, 2025, with the announcement that the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) would be […]
Also posted in Education, Energy, Environment, Global Warming, Politics, Science, Security, Society, weather
Tagged climate change
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Trump Trade Fiasco: IRobot Bought by China
Make America Die a Slow, Asinine Death (MADaSAD) How Trump’s Tariffs Helped Push an Iconic U.S. Tech Company into Bankruptcy Another American company has become collateral damage of Trump’s inept and self-defeating fiscal policy. iRobot, the U.S. company best known for its Roomba robotic vacuums, filed for bankruptcy in December 2025 after years of mounting […]
Polar Bear Plunge: Will Humans Follow? (Adaptation Part II)
Polar Bear Plunge: Will Humans Follow? Adaptation Part II Daniel BrouseDecember 14, 2025 Abstract In The Plight of the Penguin: Will Humans Follow? (Adaptation Part I), I examined how multiple penguin species—despite short-term behavioral flexibility—are failing to adapt to the pace and scale of anthropogenic climate change. This second paper extends that analysis to the […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, children, Education, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, health and wellness, International, Medicine, Politics, Science, Security, Society, Trees, weather
Tagged climate change, economy, extreme weather events, insurance
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The U.S. Economy into 2026: Tariffs, Immigration, and the AI Paradox
by Daniel BrouseDecember 13, 2025 Introduction The U.S. economy in 2025 is shaped by three powerful and interacting forces: tariff implementation, restrictive immigration policies, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Each has distinct economic effects, but taken together they create a complex macroeconomic picture with both upside and risk. 1. Tariffs: A Drag […]
Complex Social-Ecological Feedback Loops and You
by Daniel Brouse December 11, 2025 Complex social-ecological feedback loops arise when human systems and natural systems react to climate change in ways that amplify one another. Because the Earth’s climate operates as a nonlinear, chaotic system, these interactions don’t unfold gradually—they can accelerate suddenly, compound unpredictably, and push the system toward irreversible shifts. 1. […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Environment, freedom, Global Warming, health and wellness, International, liberty, Politics, Science, Security, Society, Trees, weather
Tagged climate change, economy, insurance
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Fed Rate Cut Sparks Internal Division as Quiet QE Resurfaces
What the December 10, 2025 FOMC Decision Really Means for the Economy The Federal Reserve wrapped up its meeting today with a 0.25% interest rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range down to 3.50%–3.75% — its third consecutive cut after similar moves in September and October. On the surface, this looks like a simple […]
The Real Cost of Fossil Fuels: How Trump’s Policies Accelerate Economic Collapse
by Daniel Brouse December 10, 2025 Fossil-fuel combustion isn’t just environmentally destructive — it is the single most expensive human activity in the global economy. The illusion of “affordable energy” collapses the moment you account for the actual economic costs: healthcare burdens, lost productivity, infrastructure damage, climate-driven disasters, agricultural losses, ecosystem collapse, and trillions in […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, health and wellness, liberty, Medicine, Politics, Science, Security, Society, taxes, Trees, Uncategorized, weather
Tagged cliamte change, economy, insurance
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The New Era of Economic Uncertainty: How Trump’s Tariff Shock Is Breaking America’s Forecasting Models
Economic forecasting has always carried uncertainty, but under Trump’s current fiscal and trade agenda, that uncertainty has exploded to levels not seen in a century. Policies that economists—left, right, and center—have avoided for 100 years are suddenly being deployed at massive scale. Chief among them: unprecedented import taxation and the largest tariff regime in modern […]
Florida at the Front Line: How Accelerating Sea-Level Rise Is Reshaping the State in Real Time
by Daniel Brouse December 5, 2025 Florida faces a long list of climate-driven threats — extreme heat, stronger hurricanes, toxic algal blooms, and collapsing insurance markets — but accelerating sea-level rise (SLR) sits at the center of nearly all of them. Although the current rise of a few millimeters per year may sound trivial, the […]
Also posted in Agriculture, Business, Education, Energy, Environment, Finance, freedom, Global Warming, health and wellness, liberty, Politics, Science, Society, weather
Tagged climate change, economy, flood insurance, insurance, rising sea levels
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