by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Climate Change Scenarios 101 Q: Is climate change extreme and alarming?A: Yes. Q: Is a single abrupt climate shift likely to trigger immediate human extinction or a sudden global “die-off”?A: No. But the system behavior is still highly nonlinear and increasingly constrained by physical limits. 1) Near-term physical upper […]
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No Sudden Extinction Jump: But a Strongly Constrained High-End Warming Envelope
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Climate Change Health Impact Directory
Climate Change and Human Health A Directory of Research Papers on the Health Impacts of Human-Caused Climate Change Human-caused climate change is no longer simply an environmental issue—it has become one of the defining public health challenges of the twenty-first century. In addition to the direct deaths caused by heatwaves, floods, hurricanes, droughts, wildfires, and […]
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The Evolving Probability Distribution of Climate Extremes: Earth’s Energy Imbalance, Statistical Skewness, and Feedback Coupling in an Increasingly Energetic Climate System
Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee July 4, 2026 Abstract Global warming is often communicated through changes in average surface air temperature. While useful, this framing understates the fundamental driver of climate change: the accumulation and redistribution of excess thermal energy throughout the Earth system. Because more than 90% of anthropogenic excess heat is stored in […]
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How Is Your Electric Made?
I happen to be in a somewhat unusual position geographically—I’m between the Limerick and Peach Bottom nuclear plants, so a significant portion of my electricity comes from nuclear generation. I’m not particularly pro-nuclear because it takes far too long to build new plants, and the construction itself (especially the enormous amount of concrete and steel) […]
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“The Waterfall House”: Passive Solar-Driven Heat Rejection Using Phase-Change Energy Transfer
DIY Cooling via Evaporative Roof Water Preface — Business and Environmental Ethics This is a “secret” invention Sidd and I developed some time ago. I call it secret not because it is proprietary in the usual sense, but because we tend to apply a fairly strict internal filter before releasing anything into the wild. Whenever […]
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A New Way to Understand Earth’s Accelerating Climate System
Climate Change Threshold-Driven Dynamics Public Access Edition “This looks complicated.” True—it is complicated, and that’s part of the problem. The climate system involves interacting feedbacks across the atmosphere, oceans, biosphere, and cryosphere, so it can’t really be reduced to a single mechanism or slogan without losing important detail. That’s exactly why we created this version as a public-access […]
Overview of Climate Regime Shift Analysis
From the Industrial Revolution through much of the 20th century, several slowly evolving climate-related indicators exhibited characteristic response times on the order of a century (~10² years), although these vary substantially by variable and data availability. By the 2020s, multiple independently observed Earth system components show accelerated trends with effective timescales in some cases compressing […]
Climate Responsibility and Accountability
Addendum to: Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse http://membrane.com/global_warming/Basic-Economics.html Climate Responsibility and Accountability Introduction The original purpose of Solutions to the Fossil Fuel Economy and the Myths Accelerating Climate and Economic Collapse was to focus on practical solutions rather than assigning blame. Since its publication, however, many […]
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Climate Tipping Points and Cascading Feedbacks
Climate Tipping Points and Cascading Feedbacks: Assessing the Current State of Earth’s Critical Climate Systems (2026 Review) Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee June 2026 Abstract Climate change is no longer characterized solely by gradual increases in global temperature. A growing body of observational evidence demonstrates that multiple components of the Earth system are approaching—or in […]
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The Full Economic Burden of Climate Change in the United States
Beyond Point Estimates: An Ensemble-Based Probabilistic Framework for Estimating the Full Economic Burden of Climate Change in the United States Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee Abstract Traditional estimates of climate damages generally report single-value estimates or narrow ranges that fail to capture the cascading uncertainty inherent in coupled human-natural systems. Climate change is not a […]
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