Business & the Economy | Trumpenomics | Business Achieves Economic Forecast Confirmed, Damage Accelerated Executive Summary When Donald Trump took office in January 2025 for his second term, we issued a clear forecast: a rapid deterioration in U.S. economic performance driven by protectionism, institutional erosion, policy uncertainty, and hostility toward science and immigration. That forecast […]
Category Archives: Finance
Trump’s War on Freedom: Deportations, Censorship, and the Assault on the Constitution
Trump’s war on freedom did not begin with his return to office — but it has accelerated dramatically. What we are witnessing now is not isolated misconduct, but a systematic assault on the Constitution, the free press, and the rule of law. One of the most alarming developments is the illegal deportation of individuals to […]
Tariffs Are Taxes (Just Ask Jim Beam)
Tariffs are taxes. Full stop.And like most taxes, they impose economic costs. But unlike many taxes, tariffs are among the most economically damaging because they are regressive, distortionary, and imposed directly on trade flows that sustain growth, employment, and competitiveness. History and basic economics are unambiguous: taxes rarely generate a net benefit to the economy, […]
Trump’s Second Term, Year One: Forecast Confirmed, Damage Accelerated
December 18, 2025 Executive Summary When Donald Trump took office in January 2025 for his second term, we issued a clear forecast: a rapid deterioration in U.S. economic performance driven by protectionism, institutional erosion, policy uncertainty, and hostility toward science and immigration. That forecast has not only proven accurate—it has materialized well ahead of schedule. […]
Trump Trade Fiasco: IRobot Bought by China
Make America Die a Slow, Asinine Death (MADaSAD) How Trump’s Tariffs Helped Push an Iconic U.S. Tech Company into Bankruptcy Another American company has become collateral damage of Trump’s inept and self-defeating fiscal policy. iRobot, the U.S. company best known for its Roomba robotic vacuums, filed for bankruptcy in December 2025 after years of mounting […]
Polar Bear Plunge: Will Humans Follow? (Adaptation Part II)
Polar Bear Plunge: Will Humans Follow? Adaptation Part II Daniel BrouseDecember 14, 2025 Abstract In The Plight of the Penguin: Will Humans Follow? (Adaptation Part I), I examined how multiple penguin species—despite short-term behavioral flexibility—are failing to adapt to the pace and scale of anthropogenic climate change. This second paper extends that analysis to the […]
The U.S. Economy into 2026: Tariffs, Immigration, and the AI Paradox
by Daniel BrouseDecember 13, 2025 Introduction The U.S. economy in 2025 is shaped by three powerful and interacting forces: tariff implementation, restrictive immigration policies, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Each has distinct economic effects, but taken together they create a complex macroeconomic picture with both upside and risk. 1. Tariffs: A Drag […]
Tipped Tipping Points: The Non-Linearity of Climate Collapse
By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee December 12, 2025 Introduction The non-linearity of collapse describes how complex systems can appear stable for long periods before experiencing a sudden, rapid, and often unexpected breakdown. Instead of declining gradually, systems absorb stress quietly until they cross a critical threshold—after which deterioration becomes abrupt, exponential, and irreversible. This […]
Fed Rate Cut Sparks Internal Division as Quiet QE Resurfaces
What the December 10, 2025 FOMC Decision Really Means for the Economy The Federal Reserve wrapped up its meeting today with a 0.25% interest rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range down to 3.50%–3.75% — its third consecutive cut after similar moves in September and October. On the surface, this looks like a simple […]
The Real Cost of Fossil Fuels: How Trump’s Policies Accelerate Economic Collapse
by Daniel Brouse December 10, 2025 Fossil-fuel combustion isn’t just environmentally destructive — it is the single most expensive human activity in the global economy. The illusion of “affordable energy” collapses the moment you account for the actual economic costs: healthcare burdens, lost productivity, infrastructure damage, climate-driven disasters, agricultural losses, ecosystem collapse, and trillions in […]