Category Archives: Business

Tipped Tipping Points, Feedback Loops, and the Domino Effect

By Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee September 29, 2023 A look at three (3) of the multiple tipping points we appear to have breached and The Domino Effect: Mountain Glacier Loss Collapse of AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) Amazon Rainforest Dieback Crossing one tipping point would be alarming. For instance, crossing the tipping point for […]

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California Homeowners Insurance Consider Climate Change Prices

California use to only allow a max of 7% increase a year on homeowners insurance… and only base premiums on past payouts on a property. Not anymore. “California will let insurance companies consider climate change when setting their prices, the state’s chief regulator announced Thursday, a move aimed at preventing insurers from fleeing the state […]

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Climate Change: Insurance Risk

The 9th National Risk Assessment for Homeowners Insurance found climate risks place 39 million U.S. homes at risk of losing their insurance. “Sound pricing is going to make it unaffordable to live in certain places as climate impacts emerge.” “There’s this climate insurance bubble out there,” said Jeremy Porter, the head of climate implications at […]

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Insurance, and the Lack Thereof

The Washington Post reported, “Home insurers cut natural disasters from policies as climate risks grow“. “Allstate, American Family, Nationwide, Erie Insurance Group and Berkshire Hathaway — have told regulators that extreme weather patterns caused by climate change have led them to stop writing coverages in some regions, exclude protections from various weather events and raise […]

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Climate Change: The End of Times

by Daniel Brouse July 21, 2023 What will the “End of Times” look like? In the 1990’s, we wrote a paper on the worst-case scenario entitled, “The Impact of Governance & Globalization on Forecasting (The Tunnel Under Thesis).” The theory predicted that forecasting would become increasing difficult. “The result — a figurative, as well as, […]

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Your National Debt

by Daniel Brouse June 8, 2023 The Economic Monsters: Inflation and Interest Rates I Economic Forecast = Inflation (2018) II Inflation Bites (2022) III U.S. Mass Consumption Results in Global Economic Disparity, Inequity, and Poverty (2023) IV Investment Recommendation: Savings Bonds / I Bonds (2023) Part V: Your National Debt The federal government currently has […]

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Climate Change Impacts on Flood Risks and Real Estate Values

by Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee February 26, 2023 Climate change poses many risks to real estate values. In general, as energy is added to a system, the fluctuations in the system increase. So, we expect more storms, more droughts, more wildfires, more floods, more fluctuations of all kinds. What we are saying is that […]

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Real Estate Underwater: Displacement and Climate Refugees

by Daniel Brouse February 22, 2023 For years climate scientists have been trying to develop models for the real estate market impacted by rising sea levels. Florida is proving to be a microcosm of coastal real estate. “Everybody thinks this is a God-given sea level,” Harold Wanless, who heads the University of Miami’s geology department […]

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Economic Update: Inflation, Interest Rates, AI, Consumer Spending, Climate Change, and Fiscal Policy

by Daniel Brouse February 3, 2023 This article is about the economic conditions up to 2023 and a forecast for the foreseeable future. It helps to understand fiscal and monetary polices prior to reading the following. In 2022 and 2023, the Federal Reserve raised their interest rates charged to other banks 4.75 percent in an […]

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Investment Recommendation: Savings Bonds / I Bonds

January 11, 2023 One of the best investments is Treasury Direct I Bonds. I Bonds’ interest rates are determined by the rate of inflation. The rate of return on January 11, 2023 is 6.89%. I Bonds can be purchased directly from the Treasury Department without a middle man, brokerage, or bank. There is no risk […]

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