For now, until human behavior shows observable signs of change, the baseline trajectory remains “continued high emissions.” In addition, we have now crossed the 1.5°C threshold of self-reinforcing feedbacks and tipping points.
Under the status quo, human activities are most likely to push global average surface temperatures to +4°C this century.
The consequences include:
- Widespread Regional Uninhabitability via Lethal Heat and Humidity
- Collapse of the Global Food System and Severe Water Scarcity
- Irreversible Tipping Points: Catastrophic Sea-Level Rise and Ecosystem Collapse
https://www.kingarthur.com/global_warming
